Recent forecasts from agencies including the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory point to a northerly wind shift cooling overnight temperatures, with model consensus favoring a daily low of 22–23°C amid scattered showers and high humidity. Preceding days saw elevated minimums near 25–26°C under southerly flow, but the current pattern aligns with climatological late-August cooling in coastal Shandong, where radiative losses under partly cloudy skies typically produce 21–24°C lows. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 21–22°C reflect trader assessment of these dynamics and limited downside risk below 20°C given persistent moisture and modest wind speeds. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
20°C or below 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
32%
22°C
51%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
$68 Vol.
2%
21°C
$97 Vol.
32%
22°C
$88 Vol.
51%
23°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory point to a northerly wind shift cooling overnight temperatures, with model consensus favoring a daily low of 22–23°C amid scattered showers and high humidity. Preceding days saw elevated minimums near 25–26°C under southerly flow, but the current pattern aligns with climatological late-August cooling in coastal Shandong, where radiative losses under partly cloudy skies typically produce 21–24°C lows. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 21–22°C reflect trader assessment of these dynamics and limited downside risk below 20°C given persistent moisture and modest wind speeds. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$973End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory point to a northerly wind shift cooling overnight temperatures, with model consensus favoring a daily low of 22–23°C amid scattered showers and high humidity. Preceding days saw elevated minimums near 25–26°C under southerly flow, but the current pattern aligns with climatological late-August cooling in coastal Shandong, where radiative losses under partly cloudy skies typically produce 21–24°C lows. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 21–22°C reflect trader assessment of these dynamics and limited downside risk below 20°C given persistent moisture and modest wind speeds. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$973End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory point to a northerly wind shift cooling overnight temperatures, with model consensus favoring a daily low of 22–23°C amid scattered showers and high humidity. Preceding days saw elevated minimums near 25–26°C under southerly flow, but the current pattern aligns with climatological late-August cooling in coastal Shandong, where radiative losses under partly cloudy skies typically produce 21–24°C lows. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 21–22°C reflect trader assessment of these dynamics and limited downside risk below 20°C given persistent moisture and modest wind speeds. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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