**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent showers during Panama's rainy season are moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping the lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30 anchored near typical late-August values of 24–26°C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show highs near 28–30°C with 70–85% chances of thunderstorms, limiting diurnal temperature ranges through reduced solar heating and elevated dew points around 24–25°C. Historical climatology indicates August overnight lows average 24–25°C, with minimal day-to-day variability absent strong frontal intrusions or dry spells. Trader consensus reflects model spread on exact cloud timing and shower intensity, producing closely matched probabilities across 26–28°C outcomes while assigning lower likelihood to extremes below 23°C or at/above 30°C that would require atypical clear, calm conditions or anomalous warming. Updated NHC and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will refine land-breeze and moisture advection details ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
30°C or higher 87%
20°C or below 54%
27°C 35%
26°C 33%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
20°C or below
54%
21°C
8%
22°C
24%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
33%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
87%
30°C or higher 87%
20°C or below 54%
27°C 35%
26°C 33%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
20°C or below
$15 Vol.
54%
21°C
$15 Vol.
8%
22°C
$15 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
33%
27°C
$0 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$20 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$15 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent showers during Panama's rainy season are moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping the lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30 anchored near typical late-August values of 24–26°C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show highs near 28–30°C with 70–85% chances of thunderstorms, limiting diurnal temperature ranges through reduced solar heating and elevated dew points around 24–25°C. Historical climatology indicates August overnight lows average 24–25°C, with minimal day-to-day variability absent strong frontal intrusions or dry spells. Trader consensus reflects model spread on exact cloud timing and shower intensity, producing closely matched probabilities across 26–28°C outcomes while assigning lower likelihood to extremes below 23°C or at/above 30°C that would require atypical clear, calm conditions or anomalous warming. Updated NHC and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will refine land-breeze and moisture advection details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$80End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent showers during Panama's rainy season are moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping the lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30 anchored near typical late-August values of 24–26°C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show highs near 28–30°C with 70–85% chances of thunderstorms, limiting diurnal temperature ranges through reduced solar heating and elevated dew points around 24–25°C. Historical climatology indicates August overnight lows average 24–25°C, with minimal day-to-day variability absent strong frontal intrusions or dry spells. Trader consensus reflects model spread on exact cloud timing and shower intensity, producing closely matched probabilities across 26–28°C outcomes while assigning lower likelihood to extremes below 23°C or at/above 30°C that would require atypical clear, calm conditions or anomalous warming. Updated NHC and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will refine land-breeze and moisture advection details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent showers during Panama's rainy season are moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping the lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30 anchored near typical late-August values of 24–26°C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show highs near 28–30°C with 70–85% chances of thunderstorms, limiting diurnal temperature ranges through reduced solar heating and elevated dew points around 24–25°C. Historical climatology indicates August overnight lows average 24–25°C, with minimal day-to-day variability absent strong frontal intrusions or dry spells. Trader consensus reflects model spread on exact cloud timing and shower intensity, producing closely matched probabilities across 26–28°C outcomes while assigning lower likelihood to extremes below 23°C or at/above 30°C that would require atypical clear, calm conditions or anomalous warming. Updated NHC and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will refine land-breeze and moisture advection details ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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