Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate persistent wet-season conditions with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate daytime peaks near 31°C on August 30. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture and typical trade-wind patterns reduces solar heating, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local observations shows stable patterns with no major shifts in the past week, keeping trader focus on subtle differences in convective timing and insolation that separate the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for the market-implied probabilities clustered in this narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
32°C 34%
31°C 33%
33°C 24%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
33%
32°C
34%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
5%
32°C 34%
31°C 33%
33°C 24%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25 Vol.
2%
29°C
$6 Vol.
3%
30°C
$40 Vol.
8%
31°C
$50 Vol.
33%
32°C
$93 Vol.
34%
33°C
$18 Vol.
24%
34°C or higher
$12 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate persistent wet-season conditions with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate daytime peaks near 31°C on August 30. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture and typical trade-wind patterns reduces solar heating, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local observations shows stable patterns with no major shifts in the past week, keeping trader focus on subtle differences in convective timing and insolation that separate the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for the market-implied probabilities clustered in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$275End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate persistent wet-season conditions with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate daytime peaks near 31°C on August 30. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture and typical trade-wind patterns reduces solar heating, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local observations shows stable patterns with no major shifts in the past week, keeping trader focus on subtle differences in convective timing and insolation that separate the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for the market-implied probabilities clustered in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$275End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate persistent wet-season conditions with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate daytime peaks near 31°C on August 30. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture and typical trade-wind patterns reduces solar heating, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local observations shows stable patterns with no major shifts in the past week, keeping trader focus on subtle differences in convective timing and insolation that separate the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for the market-implied probabilities clustered in this narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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