**Trader sentiment centers on NWS Miami forecasts projecting a high near 90°F for August 28 under mostly sunny skies with a 20-50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** These convective patterns, driven by high humidity (dew points in the upper 70s) and light east-southeast winds, typically limit afternoon peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. The market-implied lead for 92-93°F (57.5%) aligns with recent model runs showing potential for brief clearing and heat indices above 105°F, while 90-91°F (36.5%) captures the baseline forecast and historical August 28 average of 90.4°F. Minor 94-95°F probability (7%) reflects upside risk if storms develop late or steering patterns suppress convection. No major heat dome or anomalous warming is indicated; resolution hinges on official Miami International Airport observations by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 28?
92-93°F 56%
90-91°F 38%
94-95°F 8%
88-89°F 2%
$13,190 Vol.
$13,190 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
38%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 56%
90-91°F 38%
94-95°F 8%
88-89°F 2%
$13,190 Vol.
$13,190 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
38%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on NWS Miami forecasts projecting a high near 90°F for August 28 under mostly sunny skies with a 20-50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** These convective patterns, driven by high humidity (dew points in the upper 70s) and light east-southeast winds, typically limit afternoon peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. The market-implied lead for 92-93°F (57.5%) aligns with recent model runs showing potential for brief clearing and heat indices above 105°F, while 90-91°F (36.5%) captures the baseline forecast and historical August 28 average of 90.4°F. Minor 94-95°F probability (7%) reflects upside risk if storms develop late or steering patterns suppress convection. No major heat dome or anomalous warming is indicated; resolution hinges on official Miami International Airport observations by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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