Forecast models for Cape Town on August 30 indicate overnight lows clustered between 8–11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast to south winds, supporting the tight market distribution around those outcomes. High pressure promotes strong nocturnal radiative cooling, while wind speeds near 10–20 km/h limit mixing and dew point depression, differentiating exact minima across ensemble runs. Official South African Weather Service guidance and global models like ECMWF and GFS show minor disagreements on timing of any cloud increase or slight warming advection, creating genuine uncertainty near the 45–55% probability band. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of August 29 will refine the final minimum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
14°C 49%
7°C 47%
11°C 31%
10°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
47%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
30%
11°C
31%
12°C
26%
13°C
24%
14°C
49%
15°C
11%
16°C or higher
9%
14°C 49%
7°C 47%
11°C 31%
10°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$140 Vol.
1%
7°C
$15 Vol.
47%
8°C
$0 Vol.
25%
9°C
$131 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
30%
11°C
$0 Vol.
31%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$10 Vol.
49%
15°C
$5 Vol.
11%
16°C or higher
$5 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Cape Town on August 30 indicate overnight lows clustered between 8–11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast to south winds, supporting the tight market distribution around those outcomes. High pressure promotes strong nocturnal radiative cooling, while wind speeds near 10–20 km/h limit mixing and dew point depression, differentiating exact minima across ensemble runs. Official South African Weather Service guidance and global models like ECMWF and GFS show minor disagreements on timing of any cloud increase or slight warming advection, creating genuine uncertainty near the 45–55% probability band. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of August 29 will refine the final minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$306End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Cape Town on August 30 indicate overnight lows clustered between 8–11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast to south winds, supporting the tight market distribution around those outcomes. High pressure promotes strong nocturnal radiative cooling, while wind speeds near 10–20 km/h limit mixing and dew point depression, differentiating exact minima across ensemble runs. Official South African Weather Service guidance and global models like ECMWF and GFS show minor disagreements on timing of any cloud increase or slight warming advection, creating genuine uncertainty near the 45–55% probability band. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of August 29 will refine the final minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$306End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Cape Town on August 30 indicate overnight lows clustered between 8–11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast to south winds, supporting the tight market distribution around those outcomes. High pressure promotes strong nocturnal radiative cooling, while wind speeds near 10–20 km/h limit mixing and dew point depression, differentiating exact minima across ensemble runs. Official South African Weather Service guidance and global models like ECMWF and GFS show minor disagreements on timing of any cloud increase or slight warming advection, creating genuine uncertainty near the 45–55% probability band. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of August 29 will refine the final minimum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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