Recent model consensus points to an overnight low in Cape Town on August 29 near 11–14°C, with southerly flow ahead of a weak cold front expected to limit radiational cooling while increasing cloud cover and possible light drizzle. This frontal passage, typical of the region's winter pattern driven by mid-latitude cyclones, introduces modest uncertainty in the exact minimum as stronger winds or clearer breaks could allow slightly greater cooling. Coastal moderation from the Atlantic and variable low-level moisture further narrow the range, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 11–13°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
11°C 27%
10°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
7°C or below
3%
8°C
19%
9°C
10%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
25%
15°C
25%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
10%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
11°C 27%
10°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
7°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
8°C
$75 Vol.
19%
9°C
$46 Vol.
10%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C or higher
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to an overnight low in Cape Town on August 29 near 11–14°C, with southerly flow ahead of a weak cold front expected to limit radiational cooling while increasing cloud cover and possible light drizzle. This frontal passage, typical of the region's winter pattern driven by mid-latitude cyclones, introduces modest uncertainty in the exact minimum as stronger winds or clearer breaks could allow slightly greater cooling. Coastal moderation from the Atlantic and variable low-level moisture further narrow the range, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 11–13°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$136End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to an overnight low in Cape Town on August 29 near 11–14°C, with southerly flow ahead of a weak cold front expected to limit radiational cooling while increasing cloud cover and possible light drizzle. This frontal passage, typical of the region's winter pattern driven by mid-latitude cyclones, introduces modest uncertainty in the exact minimum as stronger winds or clearer breaks could allow slightly greater cooling. Coastal moderation from the Atlantic and variable low-level moisture further narrow the range, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 11–13°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$136End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to an overnight low in Cape Town on August 29 near 11–14°C, with southerly flow ahead of a weak cold front expected to limit radiational cooling while increasing cloud cover and possible light drizzle. This frontal passage, typical of the region's winter pattern driven by mid-latitude cyclones, introduces modest uncertainty in the exact minimum as stronger winds or clearer breaks could allow slightly greater cooling. Coastal moderation from the Atlantic and variable low-level moisture further narrow the range, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 11–13°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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