Forecast models from sources including Yr, WindBorne, and WeatherBug indicate a mild overnight minimum for Cape Town on August 28 driven by persistent cloud cover, light northwesterly winds, and warmer air advection ahead of a weak frontal system, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Official station observations (typically Cape Town International Airport) will resolve the market, with ensemble guidance clustering near 12–13 °C but showing 1–2 °C spread due to variable boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression under overcast skies. Historical August climatology places the average low near 10–11 °C, so current warmer anomalies explain why 11 °C and 12 °C hold the highest implied probabilities while 10 °C and 13 °C remain competitive pending final model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 28?
11°C 47%
12°C 44%
10°C 39%
13°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
2%
8°C
1%
9°C
36%
10°C
39%
11°C
47%
12°C
44%
13°C
37%
14°C
36%
15°C
13%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
11°C 47%
12°C 44%
10°C 39%
13°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
$85 Vol.
2%
8°C
$55 Vol.
1%
9°C
$0 Vol.
36%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
47%
12°C
$0 Vol.
44%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
36%
15°C
$122 Vol.
13%
16°C
$27 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including Yr, WindBorne, and WeatherBug indicate a mild overnight minimum for Cape Town on August 28 driven by persistent cloud cover, light northwesterly winds, and warmer air advection ahead of a weak frontal system, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Official station observations (typically Cape Town International Airport) will resolve the market, with ensemble guidance clustering near 12–13 °C but showing 1–2 °C spread due to variable boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression under overcast skies. Historical August climatology places the average low near 10–11 °C, so current warmer anomalies explain why 11 °C and 12 °C hold the highest implied probabilities while 10 °C and 13 °C remain competitive pending final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$325End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including Yr, WindBorne, and WeatherBug indicate a mild overnight minimum for Cape Town on August 28 driven by persistent cloud cover, light northwesterly winds, and warmer air advection ahead of a weak frontal system, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Official station observations (typically Cape Town International Airport) will resolve the market, with ensemble guidance clustering near 12–13 °C but showing 1–2 °C spread due to variable boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression under overcast skies. Historical August climatology places the average low near 10–11 °C, so current warmer anomalies explain why 11 °C and 12 °C hold the highest implied probabilities while 10 °C and 13 °C remain competitive pending final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$325End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including Yr, WindBorne, and WeatherBug indicate a mild overnight minimum for Cape Town on August 28 driven by persistent cloud cover, light northwesterly winds, and warmer air advection ahead of a weak frontal system, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Official station observations (typically Cape Town International Airport) will resolve the market, with ensemble guidance clustering near 12–13 °C but showing 1–2 °C spread due to variable boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression under overcast skies. Historical August climatology places the average low near 10–11 °C, so current warmer anomalies explain why 11 °C and 12 °C hold the highest implied probabilities while 10 °C and 13 °C remain competitive pending final model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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