High pressure dominating the Northeast and parts of the West has suppressed precipitation today, producing mostly dry conditions with only 5–21% chances across cities like Albany, New York, and Las Vegas per National Weather Service forecasts. In contrast, abundant moisture and daytime heating are fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms across the Southeast and South Central U.S., with 80–98% probabilities in Atlanta, Jackson, and Little Rock according to NWS and local radar observations. NOAA model consensus and NEXRAD data show steering patterns favoring isolated to scattered convection rather than widespread systems, while western and northern areas remain under clear, hot high-pressure influence. Real-time updates from NWS offices and hourly model runs will refine geographic boundaries for any market resolution tied to measurable rainfall thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on August 26?
New York, NY
14%
Los Angeles, CA
2%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
37%
Phoenix, AZ
14%
Philadelphia, PA
15%
Denver, CO
59%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
57%
Miami, FL
90%
Seattle, WA
14%
Boston, MA
14%
New Orleans, LA
52%
San Francisco, CA
14%
$654 Vol.
New York, NY
14%
Los Angeles, CA
2%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
37%
Phoenix, AZ
14%
Philadelphia, PA
15%
Denver, CO
59%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
57%
Miami, FL
90%
Seattle, WA
14%
Boston, MA
14%
New Orleans, LA
52%
San Francisco, CA
14%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
High pressure dominating the Northeast and parts of the West has suppressed precipitation today, producing mostly dry conditions with only 5–21% chances across cities like Albany, New York, and Las Vegas per National Weather Service forecasts. In contrast, abundant moisture and daytime heating are fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms across the Southeast and South Central U.S., with 80–98% probabilities in Atlanta, Jackson, and Little Rock according to NWS and local radar observations. NOAA model consensus and NEXRAD data show steering patterns favoring isolated to scattered convection rather than widespread systems, while western and northern areas remain under clear, hot high-pressure influence. Real-time updates from NWS offices and hourly model runs will refine geographic boundaries for any market resolution tied to measurable rainfall thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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