National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 30 call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 99°F under southerly flow, with heat index values approaching 105–106°F. Multiple private models align closely, projecting 97–101°F amid typical late-summer conditions above the 94.8°F climatological average. Recent hot, mostly dry days with minimal cloud cover and light winds have supported these readings, while low precipitation chances limit cooling. Trader consensus favoring the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins reflects this narrow forecast range, though small shifts in afternoon mixing or timing of peak heating could still influence the official daily maximum reported by Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 30?
98-99°F 42%
100-101°F 31%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
42%
100-101°F
31%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 42%
100-101°F 31%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$72 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$15 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$10 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$17 Vol.
16%
98-99°F
$2,064 Vol.
42%
100-101°F
$215 Vol.
31%
102-103°F
$50 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$41 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$57 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 30 call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 99°F under southerly flow, with heat index values approaching 105–106°F. Multiple private models align closely, projecting 97–101°F amid typical late-summer conditions above the 94.8°F climatological average. Recent hot, mostly dry days with minimal cloud cover and light winds have supported these readings, while low precipitation chances limit cooling. Trader consensus favoring the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins reflects this narrow forecast range, though small shifts in afternoon mixing or timing of peak heating could still influence the official daily maximum reported by Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,791End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 30 call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 99°F under southerly flow, with heat index values approaching 105–106°F. Multiple private models align closely, projecting 97–101°F amid typical late-summer conditions above the 94.8°F climatological average. Recent hot, mostly dry days with minimal cloud cover and light winds have supported these readings, while low precipitation chances limit cooling. Trader consensus favoring the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins reflects this narrow forecast range, though small shifts in afternoon mixing or timing of peak heating could still influence the official daily maximum reported by Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,791End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 30 call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 99°F under southerly flow, with heat index values approaching 105–106°F. Multiple private models align closely, projecting 97–101°F amid typical late-summer conditions above the 94.8°F climatological average. Recent hot, mostly dry days with minimal cloud cover and light winds have supported these readings, while low precipitation chances limit cooling. Trader consensus favoring the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins reflects this narrow forecast range, though small shifts in afternoon mixing or timing of peak heating could still influence the official daily maximum reported by Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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