**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a lowest temperature of 26°C in Shenzhen on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern.** These conditions limit daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimums in the mid-20s°C range. Official Shenzhen forecasts and global models align on lows near 26°C (roughly 79°F), consistent with climatological averages for late August in this subtropical coastal area. Elevated moisture and precipitation further stabilize temperatures, reducing the likelihood of extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probability (53%) to 26°C, with 25°C close behind, reflecting model agreement tempered by minor variations in timing of rain and wind. New observational data through the night will determine the official minimum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
26°C 53%
31°C 49%
30°C 48%
33°C or higher 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
12%
24°C
26%
25°C
39%
26°C
53%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
48%
31°C
49%
32°C
22%
33°C or higher
47%
26°C 53%
31°C 49%
30°C 48%
33°C or higher 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$16 Vol.
12%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
53%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$10 Vol.
48%
31°C
$10 Vol.
49%
32°C
$5 Vol.
22%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a lowest temperature of 26°C in Shenzhen on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern.** These conditions limit daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimums in the mid-20s°C range. Official Shenzhen forecasts and global models align on lows near 26°C (roughly 79°F), consistent with climatological averages for late August in this subtropical coastal area. Elevated moisture and precipitation further stabilize temperatures, reducing the likelihood of extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probability (53%) to 26°C, with 25°C close behind, reflecting model agreement tempered by minor variations in timing of rain and wind. New observational data through the night will determine the official minimum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$46End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a lowest temperature of 26°C in Shenzhen on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern.** These conditions limit daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimums in the mid-20s°C range. Official Shenzhen forecasts and global models align on lows near 26°C (roughly 79°F), consistent with climatological averages for late August in this subtropical coastal area. Elevated moisture and precipitation further stabilize temperatures, reducing the likelihood of extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probability (53%) to 26°C, with 25°C close behind, reflecting model agreement tempered by minor variations in timing of rain and wind. New observational data through the night will determine the official minimum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a lowest temperature of 26°C in Shenzhen on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern.** These conditions limit daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimums in the mid-20s°C range. Official Shenzhen forecasts and global models align on lows near 26°C (roughly 79°F), consistent with climatological averages for late August in this subtropical coastal area. Elevated moisture and precipitation further stabilize temperatures, reducing the likelihood of extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probability (53%) to 26°C, with 25°C close behind, reflecting model agreement tempered by minor variations in timing of rain and wind. New observational data through the night will determine the official minimum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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