**Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and urban heat island effects in Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, with official forecasts centering the day's minimum near 27–28°C.** Heavy showers and thunderstorms, driven by seasonal southwesterly flows and regional moisture convergence, trap heat near the surface while preventing full nighttime temperature drops typical of clearer conditions. Historical August baselines around 25°C are elevated this year by elevated dew points near 26–27°C and light variable winds that reduce advective cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 27–29°C because small differences in precipitation timing or localized urban versus coastal station readings can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, with model runs showing comparable probabilities across that narrow range amid ongoing convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
27°C 47%
28°C 47%
29°C 45%
26°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
47%
28°C
47%
29°C
45%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
28°C 47%
29°C 45%
26°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$5,437 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$164 Vol.
4%
25°C
$91 Vol.
5%
26°C
$31 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
47%
29°C
$15 Vol.
45%
30°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and urban heat island effects in Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, with official forecasts centering the day's minimum near 27–28°C.** Heavy showers and thunderstorms, driven by seasonal southwesterly flows and regional moisture convergence, trap heat near the surface while preventing full nighttime temperature drops typical of clearer conditions. Historical August baselines around 25°C are elevated this year by elevated dew points near 26–27°C and light variable winds that reduce advective cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 27–29°C because small differences in precipitation timing or localized urban versus coastal station readings can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, with model runs showing comparable probabilities across that narrow range amid ongoing convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,164End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and urban heat island effects in Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, with official forecasts centering the day's minimum near 27–28°C.** Heavy showers and thunderstorms, driven by seasonal southwesterly flows and regional moisture convergence, trap heat near the surface while preventing full nighttime temperature drops typical of clearer conditions. Historical August baselines around 25°C are elevated this year by elevated dew points near 26–27°C and light variable winds that reduce advective cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 27–29°C because small differences in precipitation timing or localized urban versus coastal station readings can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, with model runs showing comparable probabilities across that narrow range amid ongoing convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,164End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and urban heat island effects in Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, with official forecasts centering the day's minimum near 27–28°C.** Heavy showers and thunderstorms, driven by seasonal southwesterly flows and regional moisture convergence, trap heat near the surface while preventing full nighttime temperature drops typical of clearer conditions. Historical August baselines around 25°C are elevated this year by elevated dew points near 26–27°C and light variable winds that reduce advective cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 27–29°C because small differences in precipitation timing or localized urban versus coastal station readings can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, with model runs showing comparable probabilities across that narrow range amid ongoing convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions