Recent meteorological forecasts indicate overnight lows in Istanbul around 20–21°C on August 30, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds that enhance radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–29°C. Model consensus from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles shows limited cloud cover overnight, with dew points supporting efficient heat loss, though slight variations in wind strength or residual moisture from prior showers could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines for the region average near 20°C, aligning with current model runs and positioning 20–22°C outcomes as the market focus amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
25°C 50%
17°C 45%
18°C 45%
22°C 38%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
45%
18°C
45%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
38%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C or higher
1%
25°C 50%
17°C 45%
18°C 45%
22°C 38%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
45%
18°C
45%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
38%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts indicate overnight lows in Istanbul around 20–21°C on August 30, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds that enhance radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–29°C. Model consensus from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles shows limited cloud cover overnight, with dew points supporting efficient heat loss, though slight variations in wind strength or residual moisture from prior showers could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August baselines for the region average near 20°C, aligning with current model runs and positioning 20–22°C outcomes as the market focus amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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