Uncertainty in overnight cloud cover, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer humidity for August 31 is sustaining closely matched trader probabilities across the 24–27°C range for Panama City’s daily minimum. In this humid tropical setting during the peak rainy season, radiative cooling at night is limited by persistent cloudiness and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, while light winds and urban heat-island effects further moderate lows; official guidance currently centers around 24–25°C, but small shifts in shower timing or Atlantic moisture influx can alter the outcome by 1–2°C. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 31?
20°C or below 53%
30°C or higher 53%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
20°C or below
53%
21°C
24%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
48%
29°C
33%
30°C or higher
53%
20°C or below 53%
30°C or higher 53%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
53%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
48%
23°C
$0 Vol.
48%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
48%
29°C
$0 Vol.
33%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in overnight cloud cover, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer humidity for August 31 is sustaining closely matched trader probabilities across the 24–27°C range for Panama City’s daily minimum. In this humid tropical setting during the peak rainy season, radiative cooling at night is limited by persistent cloudiness and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, while light winds and urban heat-island effects further moderate lows; official guidance currently centers around 24–25°C, but small shifts in shower timing or Atlantic moisture influx can alter the outcome by 1–2°C. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 8:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in overnight cloud cover, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer humidity for August 31 is sustaining closely matched trader probabilities across the 24–27°C range for Panama City’s daily minimum. In this humid tropical setting during the peak rainy season, radiative cooling at night is limited by persistent cloudiness and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, while light winds and urban heat-island effects further moderate lows; official guidance currently centers around 24–25°C, but small shifts in shower timing or Atlantic moisture influx can alter the outcome by 1–2°C. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 8:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty in overnight cloud cover, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer humidity for August 31 is sustaining closely matched trader probabilities across the 24–27°C range for Panama City’s daily minimum. In this humid tropical setting during the peak rainy season, radiative cooling at night is limited by persistent cloudiness and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, while light winds and urban heat-island effects further moderate lows; official guidance currently centers around 24–25°C, but small shifts in shower timing or Atlantic moisture influx can alter the outcome by 1–2°C. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions