Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including Argentina's SMN points to a peak temperature near 20–21°C on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, with afternoon readings influenced by modest warming from clear conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these bins because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind shift timing, or urban heat-island effects can easily separate a 20°C from a 22°C maximum. Historical late-August climatology for Buenos Aires centers on highs of 15–18°C, so current guidance reflects above-average warmth driven by a transient high-pressure ridge; updated model runs released overnight will be the next key catalyst for any shift in market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
21°C 37%
20°C 31%
22°C 14%
19°C 7%
NEW
$22,269 Vol.
NEW
$22,269 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
31%
21°C
37%
22°C
14%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 37%
20°C 31%
22°C 14%
19°C 7%
NEW
$22,269 Vol.
NEW
$22,269 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
$912 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,018 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$584 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$391 Vol.
1%
18°C
$953 Vol.
3%
19°C
$2,024 Vol.
7%
20°C
$3,848 Vol.
31%
21°C
$5,701 Vol.
37%
22°C
$5,059 Vol.
14%
23°C
$1,080 Vol.
4%
24°C or higher
$700 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including Argentina's SMN points to a peak temperature near 20–21°C on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, with afternoon readings influenced by modest warming from clear conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these bins because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind shift timing, or urban heat-island effects can easily separate a 20°C from a 22°C maximum. Historical late-August climatology for Buenos Aires centers on highs of 15–18°C, so current guidance reflects above-average warmth driven by a transient high-pressure ridge; updated model runs released overnight will be the next key catalyst for any shift in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$22,269End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including Argentina's SMN points to a peak temperature near 20–21°C on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, with afternoon readings influenced by modest warming from clear conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these bins because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind shift timing, or urban heat-island effects can easily separate a 20°C from a 22°C maximum. Historical late-August climatology for Buenos Aires centers on highs of 15–18°C, so current guidance reflects above-average warmth driven by a transient high-pressure ridge; updated model runs released overnight will be the next key catalyst for any shift in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,269End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including Argentina's SMN points to a peak temperature near 20–21°C on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, with afternoon readings influenced by modest warming from clear conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these bins because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind shift timing, or urban heat-island effects can easily separate a 20°C from a 22°C maximum. Historical late-August climatology for Buenos Aires centers on highs of 15–18°C, so current guidance reflects above-average warmth driven by a transient high-pressure ridge; updated model runs released overnight will be the next key catalyst for any shift in market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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