Forecasts from multiple sources, including Met Office, Yr, and WeatherBug, indicate Buenos Aires will experience clear to partly cloudy conditions on August 29 under a stable high-pressure system with light easterly winds of 2–4 m/s, supporting radiative cooling overnight. This setup points to a minimum temperature near 9–11°C, above the long-term August average of about 7°C, as a mild air mass limits advection of colder air. Model consensus shows limited spread in dew points and cloud cover, though minor variations in timing of any thin high clouds could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds reflect this clustering around 10–11°C while assigning notable probability to colder outliers, consistent with inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature guidance near resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
2°C or below 67%
12°C or higher 57%
3°C 48%
4°C 48%
2°C or below
67%
3°C
48%
4°C
48%
5°C
26%
6°C
27%
7°C
48%
8°C
48%
9°C
48%
10°C
21%
11°C
18%
12°C or higher
57%
2°C or below 67%
12°C or higher 57%
3°C 48%
4°C 48%
2°C or below
67%
3°C
48%
4°C
48%
5°C
26%
6°C
27%
7°C
48%
8°C
48%
9°C
48%
10°C
21%
11°C
18%
12°C or higher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple sources, including Met Office, Yr, and WeatherBug, indicate Buenos Aires will experience clear to partly cloudy conditions on August 29 under a stable high-pressure system with light easterly winds of 2–4 m/s, supporting radiative cooling overnight. This setup points to a minimum temperature near 9–11°C, above the long-term August average of about 7°C, as a mild air mass limits advection of colder air. Model consensus shows limited spread in dew points and cloud cover, though minor variations in timing of any thin high clouds could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds reflect this clustering around 10–11°C while assigning notable probability to colder outliers, consistent with inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature guidance near resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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