Official forecasts from the National Weather Service project a high near 96°F for Houston on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with only a slight afternoon storm chance that should not suppress daytime heating. Persistent summer humidity and heat indices exceeding 105°F support readings in the mid-to-upper 90s, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach about 94°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability in this stable pattern, positioning the 96-97°F bin as the clear leader at 51.5% implied probability while limiting upside to 98°F or above. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 29?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 29?
96-97°F 52%
94-95°F 31%
98-99°F 11%
92-93°F 6%
NEW
$17,124 Vol.
NEW
$17,124 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
52%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 52%
94-95°F 31%
98-99°F 11%
92-93°F 6%
NEW
$17,124 Vol.
NEW
$17,124 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
83°F or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$394 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,204 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$510 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$550 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$1,411 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$3,032 Vol.
31%
96-97°F
$7,219 Vol.
52%
98-99°F
$1,447 Vol.
11%
100-101°F
$451 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service project a high near 96°F for Houston on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with only a slight afternoon storm chance that should not suppress daytime heating. Persistent summer humidity and heat indices exceeding 105°F support readings in the mid-to-upper 90s, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach about 94°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability in this stable pattern, positioning the 96-97°F bin as the clear leader at 51.5% implied probability while limiting upside to 98°F or above. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$17,124End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service project a high near 96°F for Houston on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with only a slight afternoon storm chance that should not suppress daytime heating. Persistent summer humidity and heat indices exceeding 105°F support readings in the mid-to-upper 90s, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach about 94°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability in this stable pattern, positioning the 96-97°F bin as the clear leader at 51.5% implied probability while limiting upside to 98°F or above. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,124End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service project a high near 96°F for Houston on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with only a slight afternoon storm chance that should not suppress daytime heating. Persistent summer humidity and heat indices exceeding 105°F support readings in the mid-to-upper 90s, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach about 94°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability in this stable pattern, positioning the 96-97°F bin as the clear leader at 51.5% implied probability while limiting upside to 98°F or above. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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