Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project highs of 83–85°F across NYC stations under a high-pressure ridge, with partly sunny skies, southwest winds of 5–10 mph, and a 30–40% chance of afternoon showers. These conditions favor peak temperatures in the 82–85°F range at the LaGuardia resolution station, where modest cooling from cloud cover, sea breezes, or scattered precipitation could cap readings near 82–83°F while allowing brief clearing to reach 84–85°F. Ensemble guidance shows narrow uncertainty given the stable synoptic pattern and seasonable late-August norms, aligning with the market’s concentration on the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins as leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 30?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
$236 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$389 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$56 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$249 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$680 Vol.
21%
82-83°F
$498 Vol.
41%
84-85°F
$507 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$629 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$27 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$138 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project highs of 83–85°F across NYC stations under a high-pressure ridge, with partly sunny skies, southwest winds of 5–10 mph, and a 30–40% chance of afternoon showers. These conditions favor peak temperatures in the 82–85°F range at the LaGuardia resolution station, where modest cooling from cloud cover, sea breezes, or scattered precipitation could cap readings near 82–83°F while allowing brief clearing to reach 84–85°F. Ensemble guidance shows narrow uncertainty given the stable synoptic pattern and seasonable late-August norms, aligning with the market’s concentration on the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins as leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,528End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project highs of 83–85°F across NYC stations under a high-pressure ridge, with partly sunny skies, southwest winds of 5–10 mph, and a 30–40% chance of afternoon showers. These conditions favor peak temperatures in the 82–85°F range at the LaGuardia resolution station, where modest cooling from cloud cover, sea breezes, or scattered precipitation could cap readings near 82–83°F while allowing brief clearing to reach 84–85°F. Ensemble guidance shows narrow uncertainty given the stable synoptic pattern and seasonable late-August norms, aligning with the market’s concentration on the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins as leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,528End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project highs of 83–85°F across NYC stations under a high-pressure ridge, with partly sunny skies, southwest winds of 5–10 mph, and a 30–40% chance of afternoon showers. These conditions favor peak temperatures in the 82–85°F range at the LaGuardia resolution station, where modest cooling from cloud cover, sea breezes, or scattered precipitation could cap readings near 82–83°F while allowing brief clearing to reach 84–85°F. Ensemble guidance shows narrow uncertainty given the stable synoptic pattern and seasonable late-August norms, aligning with the market’s concentration on the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins as leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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