Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C on August 31 in Buenos Aires, shaped by light easterly winds advecting milder maritime air and partly cloudy skies that moderate nighttime radiative cooling. With late-winter conditions featuring high pressure and typical dew points around 9–11°C, small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing can swing the low by several degrees, explaining the near-even market split between sub-7°C and 17°C+ outcomes alongside clustered probabilities for 8–16°C. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and Yr.no highlights this inherent forecast spread, with resolution hinging on precise overnight minimum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 31?
7°C or below 90%
17°C or higher 86%
8°C 49%
14°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
7°C or below
90%
8°C
49%
9°C
19%
10°C
26%
11°C
30%
12°C
22%
13°C
25%
14°C
49%
15°C
44%
16°C
46%
17°C or higher
86%
7°C or below 90%
17°C or higher 86%
8°C 49%
14°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
8°C
$0 Vol.
49%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
44%
16°C
$0 Vol.
46%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C on August 31 in Buenos Aires, shaped by light easterly winds advecting milder maritime air and partly cloudy skies that moderate nighttime radiative cooling. With late-winter conditions featuring high pressure and typical dew points around 9–11°C, small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing can swing the low by several degrees, explaining the near-even market split between sub-7°C and 17°C+ outcomes alongside clustered probabilities for 8–16°C. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and Yr.no highlights this inherent forecast spread, with resolution hinging on precise overnight minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C on August 31 in Buenos Aires, shaped by light easterly winds advecting milder maritime air and partly cloudy skies that moderate nighttime radiative cooling. With late-winter conditions featuring high pressure and typical dew points around 9–11°C, small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing can swing the low by several degrees, explaining the near-even market split between sub-7°C and 17°C+ outcomes alongside clustered probabilities for 8–16°C. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and Yr.no highlights this inherent forecast spread, with resolution hinging on precise overnight minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C on August 31 in Buenos Aires, shaped by light easterly winds advecting milder maritime air and partly cloudy skies that moderate nighttime radiative cooling. With late-winter conditions featuring high pressure and typical dew points around 9–11°C, small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing can swing the low by several degrees, explaining the near-even market split between sub-7°C and 17°C+ outcomes alongside clustered probabilities for 8–16°C. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and Yr.no highlights this inherent forecast spread, with resolution hinging on precise overnight minimum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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