Recent forecasts from models aligned with the China Meteorological Administration indicate scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover over Guangzhou through August 30, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting lowest temperatures near the seasonal average of 25°C. Persistent high humidity from the East Asian monsoon, combined with light variable winds, limits diurnal temperature swings, while model differences in rainfall timing introduce spread across 24–27°C outcomes. Historical analogs show similar late-August patterns rarely dip below 23°C without stronger frontal passages, and updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations. Trader consensus reflects this genuine short-term uncertainty in convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
23%
23°C
47%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
43%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
15%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models aligned with the China Meteorological Administration indicate scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover over Guangzhou through August 30, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting lowest temperatures near the seasonal average of 25°C. Persistent high humidity from the East Asian monsoon, combined with light variable winds, limits diurnal temperature swings, while model differences in rainfall timing introduce spread across 24–27°C outcomes. Historical analogs show similar late-August patterns rarely dip below 23°C without stronger frontal passages, and updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations. Trader consensus reflects this genuine short-term uncertainty in convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models aligned with the China Meteorological Administration indicate scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover over Guangzhou through August 30, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting lowest temperatures near the seasonal average of 25°C. Persistent high humidity from the East Asian monsoon, combined with light variable winds, limits diurnal temperature swings, while model differences in rainfall timing introduce spread across 24–27°C outcomes. Historical analogs show similar late-August patterns rarely dip below 23°C without stronger frontal passages, and updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations. Trader consensus reflects this genuine short-term uncertainty in convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models aligned with the China Meteorological Administration indicate scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover over Guangzhou through August 30, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting lowest temperatures near the seasonal average of 25°C. Persistent high humidity from the East Asian monsoon, combined with light variable winds, limits diurnal temperature swings, while model differences in rainfall timing introduce spread across 24–27°C outcomes. Historical analogs show similar late-August patterns rarely dip below 23°C without stronger frontal passages, and updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations. Trader consensus reflects this genuine short-term uncertainty in convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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