Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a mostly cloudy pattern over Qingdao on August 28 with light southerly flow off the Yellow Sea, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a low near 25–26°C. Current 48-hour guidance shows minimal diurnal temperature range under persistent cloud cover and light winds, with only isolated shower chances that would limit further drops. Historical August climatology places typical nighttime minima around 22°C, but the absence of stronger northerly advection or clear skies this week has kept surface readings elevated. Trader positioning on 24–28°C outcomes reflects agreement across model runs on this range, tempered by small uncertainties in exact cloud timing and wind shifts ahead of the weekend frontal passage. Updated regional forecasts will refine probabilities as the event approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
24°C 48%
26°C 48%
25°C 47%
27°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
22%
22°C
24%
23°C
24%
24°C
48%
25°C
47%
26°C
48%
27°C
47%
28°C
7%
29°C
21%
30°C or higher
22%
24°C 48%
26°C 48%
25°C 47%
27°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$27 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$27 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a mostly cloudy pattern over Qingdao on August 28 with light southerly flow off the Yellow Sea, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a low near 25–26°C. Current 48-hour guidance shows minimal diurnal temperature range under persistent cloud cover and light winds, with only isolated shower chances that would limit further drops. Historical August climatology places typical nighttime minima around 22°C, but the absence of stronger northerly advection or clear skies this week has kept surface readings elevated. Trader positioning on 24–28°C outcomes reflects agreement across model runs on this range, tempered by small uncertainties in exact cloud timing and wind shifts ahead of the weekend frontal passage. Updated regional forecasts will refine probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$55End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a mostly cloudy pattern over Qingdao on August 28 with light southerly flow off the Yellow Sea, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a low near 25–26°C. Current 48-hour guidance shows minimal diurnal temperature range under persistent cloud cover and light winds, with only isolated shower chances that would limit further drops. Historical August climatology places typical nighttime minima around 22°C, but the absence of stronger northerly advection or clear skies this week has kept surface readings elevated. Trader positioning on 24–28°C outcomes reflects agreement across model runs on this range, tempered by small uncertainties in exact cloud timing and wind shifts ahead of the weekend frontal passage. Updated regional forecasts will refine probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a mostly cloudy pattern over Qingdao on August 28 with light southerly flow off the Yellow Sea, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a low near 25–26°C. Current 48-hour guidance shows minimal diurnal temperature range under persistent cloud cover and light winds, with only isolated shower chances that would limit further drops. Historical August climatology places typical nighttime minima around 22°C, but the absence of stronger northerly advection or clear skies this week has kept surface readings elevated. Trader positioning on 24–28°C outcomes reflects agreement across model runs on this range, tempered by small uncertainties in exact cloud timing and wind shifts ahead of the weekend frontal passage. Updated regional forecasts will refine probabilities as the event approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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