Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses show Milan under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover on August 30, favoring peak afternoon heating near 29–30°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds, where 30°C leads at 45.5% and 29°C follows at 32.5%, reflecting trader consensus on typical late-summer Po Valley conditions without significant advection of cooler air or convective disruption. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of maximum insolation keeps 31°C at 16.5%, while historical August averages near 27–28°C underscore the slightly above-normal warmth priced in. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine exact peak values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 30?
30°C 46%
29°C 33%
31°C 17%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
33%
30°C
46%
31°C
17%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 46%
29°C 33%
31°C 17%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$273 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$273 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$4 Vol.
6%
29°C
$144 Vol.
33%
30°C
$91 Vol.
46%
31°C
$15 Vol.
17%
32°C
$5 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$127 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses show Milan under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover on August 30, favoring peak afternoon heating near 29–30°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds, where 30°C leads at 45.5% and 29°C follows at 32.5%, reflecting trader consensus on typical late-summer Po Valley conditions without significant advection of cooler air or convective disruption. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of maximum insolation keeps 31°C at 16.5%, while historical August averages near 27–28°C underscore the slightly above-normal warmth priced in. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine exact peak values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,280End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses show Milan under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover on August 30, favoring peak afternoon heating near 29–30°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds, where 30°C leads at 45.5% and 29°C follows at 32.5%, reflecting trader consensus on typical late-summer Po Valley conditions without significant advection of cooler air or convective disruption. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of maximum insolation keeps 31°C at 16.5%, while historical August averages near 27–28°C underscore the slightly above-normal warmth priced in. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine exact peak values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,280End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses show Milan under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover on August 30, favoring peak afternoon heating near 29–30°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds, where 30°C leads at 45.5% and 29°C follows at 32.5%, reflecting trader consensus on typical late-summer Po Valley conditions without significant advection of cooler air or convective disruption. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of maximum insolation keeps 31°C at 16.5%, while historical August averages near 27–28°C underscore the slightly above-normal warmth priced in. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine exact peak values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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