Recent rainfall and a cold air intrusion over western Chongqing have driven overnight cooling ahead of August 30, with multiple forecast models showing daily minimums of 22–24 °C after the 28–29 August system. Historical late-August lows average near 25–26 °C, but the current pattern favors a sharper drop tied to cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced daytime heating. Trader odds cluster tightly across 20–25 °C outcomes because model runs differ mainly on exact steering and residual moisture, while the modest probability on 29 °C+ reflects lingering uncertainty if clearing occurs faster than expected. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
19°C or below 88%
29°C or higher 59%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
88%
20°C
49%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
42%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
59%
19°C or below 88%
29°C or higher 59%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
88%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
42%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and a cold air intrusion over western Chongqing have driven overnight cooling ahead of August 30, with multiple forecast models showing daily minimums of 22–24 °C after the 28–29 August system. Historical late-August lows average near 25–26 °C, but the current pattern favors a sharper drop tied to cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced daytime heating. Trader odds cluster tightly across 20–25 °C outcomes because model runs differ mainly on exact steering and residual moisture, while the modest probability on 29 °C+ reflects lingering uncertainty if clearing occurs faster than expected. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and a cold air intrusion over western Chongqing have driven overnight cooling ahead of August 30, with multiple forecast models showing daily minimums of 22–24 °C after the 28–29 August system. Historical late-August lows average near 25–26 °C, but the current pattern favors a sharper drop tied to cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced daytime heating. Trader odds cluster tightly across 20–25 °C outcomes because model runs differ mainly on exact steering and residual moisture, while the modest probability on 29 °C+ reflects lingering uncertainty if clearing occurs faster than expected. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and a cold air intrusion over western Chongqing have driven overnight cooling ahead of August 30, with multiple forecast models showing daily minimums of 22–24 °C after the 28–29 August system. Historical late-August lows average near 25–26 °C, but the current pattern favors a sharper drop tied to cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced daytime heating. Trader odds cluster tightly across 20–25 °C outcomes because model runs differ mainly on exact steering and residual moisture, while the modest probability on 29 °C+ reflects lingering uncertainty if clearing occurs faster than expected. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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