Incoming rainfall and associated cold air advection beginning late on August 28 are the main drivers behind the near-even market split between 25°C (46.5%) and 26°C (53.5%) as Chongqing’s daily minimum. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station indicate scattered showers transitioning to moderate-to-heavy rain overnight, with western areas potentially seeing localized cooling from increased cloud cover and evaporative effects that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while introducing modest advection of cooler air. Historical climatology places typical late-August overnight lows near 26°C under clear subtropical high influence, but model spreads on exact timing and intensity of the frontal boundary create the tight contest between these two thresholds. Updated numerical guidance and surface observations through the evening will refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 28?
26°C 54%
25°C 47%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,664 Vol.
$23,664 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
47%
26°C
54%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
25°C 47%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,664 Vol.
$23,664 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
$137 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$102 Vol.
1%
23°C
$209 Vol.
1%
24°C
$105 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
54%
27°C
$1,378 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$213 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$18,352 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,102 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$67 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming rainfall and associated cold air advection beginning late on August 28 are the main drivers behind the near-even market split between 25°C (46.5%) and 26°C (53.5%) as Chongqing’s daily minimum. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station indicate scattered showers transitioning to moderate-to-heavy rain overnight, with western areas potentially seeing localized cooling from increased cloud cover and evaporative effects that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while introducing modest advection of cooler air. Historical climatology places typical late-August overnight lows near 26°C under clear subtropical high influence, but model spreads on exact timing and intensity of the frontal boundary create the tight contest between these two thresholds. Updated numerical guidance and surface observations through the evening will refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$23,664End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming rainfall and associated cold air advection beginning late on August 28 are the main drivers behind the near-even market split between 25°C (46.5%) and 26°C (53.5%) as Chongqing’s daily minimum. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station indicate scattered showers transitioning to moderate-to-heavy rain overnight, with western areas potentially seeing localized cooling from increased cloud cover and evaporative effects that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while introducing modest advection of cooler air. Historical climatology places typical late-August overnight lows near 26°C under clear subtropical high influence, but model spreads on exact timing and intensity of the frontal boundary create the tight contest between these two thresholds. Updated numerical guidance and surface observations through the evening will refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,664End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incoming rainfall and associated cold air advection beginning late on August 28 are the main drivers behind the near-even market split between 25°C (46.5%) and 26°C (53.5%) as Chongqing’s daily minimum. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station indicate scattered showers transitioning to moderate-to-heavy rain overnight, with western areas potentially seeing localized cooling from increased cloud cover and evaporative effects that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while introducing modest advection of cooler air. Historical climatology places typical late-August overnight lows near 26°C under clear subtropical high influence, but model spreads on exact timing and intensity of the frontal boundary create the tight contest between these two thresholds. Updated numerical guidance and surface observations through the evening will refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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