Recent model consensus and observational trends point to a moderating low around 24–25°C in Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a typhoon-related trough and widespread cloud cover with scattered rain. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while enhancing mixing, keeping overnight minima from dropping sharply despite late-summer baseline warmth. Forecaster guidance from multiple runs clusters in the mid-20s Celsius, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning across nearby bins reflects this narrow forecast spread and typical model variability near resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
22°C 50%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
24°C 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
15%
22°C
50%
23°C
22%
24°C
35%
25°C
27%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
2%
22°C 50%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
24°C 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
15%
22°C
$0 Vol.
50%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational trends point to a moderating low around 24–25°C in Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a typhoon-related trough and widespread cloud cover with scattered rain. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while enhancing mixing, keeping overnight minima from dropping sharply despite late-summer baseline warmth. Forecaster guidance from multiple runs clusters in the mid-20s Celsius, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning across nearby bins reflects this narrow forecast spread and typical model variability near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational trends point to a moderating low around 24–25°C in Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a typhoon-related trough and widespread cloud cover with scattered rain. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while enhancing mixing, keeping overnight minima from dropping sharply despite late-summer baseline warmth. Forecaster guidance from multiple runs clusters in the mid-20s Celsius, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning across nearby bins reflects this narrow forecast spread and typical model variability near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and observational trends point to a moderating low around 24–25°C in Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a typhoon-related trough and widespread cloud cover with scattered rain. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while enhancing mixing, keeping overnight minima from dropping sharply despite late-summer baseline warmth. Forecaster guidance from multiple runs clusters in the mid-20s Celsius, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning across nearby bins reflects this narrow forecast spread and typical model variability near resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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