Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a weather system bringing increased cloud cover, thunderstorms, and precipitation to Chengdu on August 29, limiting daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. This supports trader focus on lows near 21–24°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where typical August overnight minima hover around 22°C amid high humidity and weak winds. Key variables include the exact timing of rain onset and cloud persistence, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C depending on model consensus. Official resolution relies on verified local station data, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
17°C or below 53%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
24°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
53%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
43%
21°C
39%
22°C
43%
23°C
46%
24°C
49%
25°C
40%
26°C
43%
27°C or higher
2%
17°C or below 53%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
24°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
53%
18°C
$5 Vol.
49%
19°C
$5 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
43%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
43%
23°C
$0 Vol.
46%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
43%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a weather system bringing increased cloud cover, thunderstorms, and precipitation to Chengdu on August 29, limiting daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. This supports trader focus on lows near 21–24°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where typical August overnight minima hover around 22°C amid high humidity and weak winds. Key variables include the exact timing of rain onset and cloud persistence, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C depending on model consensus. Official resolution relies on verified local station data, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a weather system bringing increased cloud cover, thunderstorms, and precipitation to Chengdu on August 29, limiting daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. This supports trader focus on lows near 21–24°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where typical August overnight minima hover around 22°C amid high humidity and weak winds. Key variables include the exact timing of rain onset and cloud persistence, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C depending on model consensus. Official resolution relies on verified local station data, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a weather system bringing increased cloud cover, thunderstorms, and precipitation to Chengdu on August 29, limiting daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. This supports trader focus on lows near 21–24°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where typical August overnight minima hover around 22°C amid high humidity and weak winds. Key variables include the exact timing of rain onset and cloud persistence, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C depending on model consensus. Official resolution relies on verified local station data, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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