Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across Taipei's subtropical setting on August 28, keeping the overnight minimum near the 26–28°C range according to Central Weather Bureau guidance. High dew points near 25–27°C reduce the diurnal temperature swing, while scattered showers and overcast conditions further suppress surface heat loss. These factors produce closely matched market-implied odds around 25–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact clearing timing and local wind patterns. Historical August lows average near 26°C, but recent regional moisture from shifting tropical systems has sustained warmer nighttime readings than drier analogs. Updated model runs and official minimum observations later today will clarify whether the low settles closer to 25°C or holds nearer 28–29°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 28?
25°C 47%
26°C 47%
29°C 47%
28°C 46%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
46%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
44%
28°C
46%
29°C
47%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 47%
29°C 47%
28°C 46%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$193 Vol.
1%
23°C
$112 Vol.
2%
24°C
$65 Vol.
46%
25°C
$0 Vol.
47%
26°C
$21 Vol.
47%
27°C
$21 Vol.
44%
28°C
$20 Vol.
46%
29°C
$12 Vol.
47%
30°C
$308 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,496 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$179 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across Taipei's subtropical setting on August 28, keeping the overnight minimum near the 26–28°C range according to Central Weather Bureau guidance. High dew points near 25–27°C reduce the diurnal temperature swing, while scattered showers and overcast conditions further suppress surface heat loss. These factors produce closely matched market-implied odds around 25–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact clearing timing and local wind patterns. Historical August lows average near 26°C, but recent regional moisture from shifting tropical systems has sustained warmer nighttime readings than drier analogs. Updated model runs and official minimum observations later today will clarify whether the low settles closer to 25°C or holds nearer 28–29°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,378End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across Taipei's subtropical setting on August 28, keeping the overnight minimum near the 26–28°C range according to Central Weather Bureau guidance. High dew points near 25–27°C reduce the diurnal temperature swing, while scattered showers and overcast conditions further suppress surface heat loss. These factors produce closely matched market-implied odds around 25–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact clearing timing and local wind patterns. Historical August lows average near 26°C, but recent regional moisture from shifting tropical systems has sustained warmer nighttime readings than drier analogs. Updated model runs and official minimum observations later today will clarify whether the low settles closer to 25°C or holds nearer 28–29°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,378End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across Taipei's subtropical setting on August 28, keeping the overnight minimum near the 26–28°C range according to Central Weather Bureau guidance. High dew points near 25–27°C reduce the diurnal temperature swing, while scattered showers and overcast conditions further suppress surface heat loss. These factors produce closely matched market-implied odds around 25–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact clearing timing and local wind patterns. Historical August lows average near 26°C, but recent regional moisture from shifting tropical systems has sustained warmer nighttime readings than drier analogs. Updated model runs and official minimum observations later today will clarify whether the low settles closer to 25°C or holds nearer 28–29°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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