Recent forecasts for Taipei place the overnight low on August 29 near 25–26 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High humidity near 85 % combined with light winds and persistent cloud cover suppresses radiative cooling after sunset, while the urban heat island effect maintains elevated minimum temperatures compared with rural stations. Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and model consensus show only minor day-to-day shifts in steering flow and moisture, producing limited differentiation between the two leading bins. Any brief clearing or slightly stronger nocturnal drainage could tip the reading toward 25 °C, whereas continued overcast conditions favor 26 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 29?
26°C 51%
25°C 47%
24°C 5%
23°C 1.6%
$1,712 Vol.
$1,712 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
47%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
25°C 47%
24°C 5%
23°C 1.6%
$1,712 Vol.
$1,712 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
47%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Taipei place the overnight low on August 29 near 25–26 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High humidity near 85 % combined with light winds and persistent cloud cover suppresses radiative cooling after sunset, while the urban heat island effect maintains elevated minimum temperatures compared with rural stations. Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and model consensus show only minor day-to-day shifts in steering flow and moisture, producing limited differentiation between the two leading bins. Any brief clearing or slightly stronger nocturnal drainage could tip the reading toward 25 °C, whereas continued overcast conditions favor 26 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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