Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a low-pressure system and southwesterly flow will sustain cloud cover and scattered convection over Taipei through August 31, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–27°C amid typical late-summer humidity levels around 80%. Historical climatology for the period shows overnight lows averaging 25–26°C, with model consensus pointing to minimal diurnal range under persistent moisture. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 26–28°C outcomes because these align with current guidance and the basin's urban heat retention, while lower tails (≤24°C) remain discounted absent stronger cooling signals from unexpected clearing or frontal passage. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 31?
29°C 49%
27°C 38%
26°C 27%
28°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
24%
26°C
27%
27°C
38%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 49%
27°C 38%
26°C 27%
28°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$140 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
38%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$5 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$200 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a low-pressure system and southwesterly flow will sustain cloud cover and scattered convection over Taipei through August 31, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–27°C amid typical late-summer humidity levels around 80%. Historical climatology for the period shows overnight lows averaging 25–26°C, with model consensus pointing to minimal diurnal range under persistent moisture. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 26–28°C outcomes because these align with current guidance and the basin's urban heat retention, while lower tails (≤24°C) remain discounted absent stronger cooling signals from unexpected clearing or frontal passage. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$345End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a low-pressure system and southwesterly flow will sustain cloud cover and scattered convection over Taipei through August 31, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–27°C amid typical late-summer humidity levels around 80%. Historical climatology for the period shows overnight lows averaging 25–26°C, with model consensus pointing to minimal diurnal range under persistent moisture. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 26–28°C outcomes because these align with current guidance and the basin's urban heat retention, while lower tails (≤24°C) remain discounted absent stronger cooling signals from unexpected clearing or frontal passage. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$345End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a low-pressure system and southwesterly flow will sustain cloud cover and scattered convection over Taipei through August 31, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–27°C amid typical late-summer humidity levels around 80%. Historical climatology for the period shows overnight lows averaging 25–26°C, with model consensus pointing to minimal diurnal range under persistent moisture. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 26–28°C outcomes because these align with current guidance and the basin's urban heat retention, while lower tails (≤24°C) remain discounted absent stronger cooling signals from unexpected clearing or frontal passage. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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