Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services show Shanghai under easterly flow with persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity on August 28, producing an expected overnight low of 27°C. Multiple observational and model runs align on this minimum, consistent with late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns where typical lows range 26–28°C amid weak diurnal temperature swings of 3–5°C. Official station data through the period reflect this stability, with dew points near 25°C limiting further cooling. A rapid shift in steering winds or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling could push readings lower, though current consensus across agencies makes such divergence unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$20,158 Vol.
$20,158 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$20,158 Vol.
$20,158 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services show Shanghai under easterly flow with persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity on August 28, producing an expected overnight low of 27°C. Multiple observational and model runs align on this minimum, consistent with late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns where typical lows range 26–28°C amid weak diurnal temperature swings of 3–5°C. Official station data through the period reflect this stability, with dew points near 25°C limiting further cooling. A rapid shift in steering winds or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling could push readings lower, though current consensus across agencies makes such divergence unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions