Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's August 31 maximum will likely fall in the 22–24°C range, consistent with the market's concentration around those outcomes amid transitional late-summer conditions. Southwest flow advects mild air while variable cloud cover and possible light showers limit daytime heating, keeping peaks below recent seasonal highs. Model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of any precipitation, and boundary-layer mixing, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–3°C. Russian meteorological guidance and international ensembles currently align near 23°C but remain sensitive to the next 48-hour updates from the Hydrometeorological Center and global numerical weather prediction runs. Traders appear to price in this genuine short-term uncertainty rather than committing heavily to outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
23°C 43%
22°C 26%
24°C 21%
20°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
14%
21°C
13%
22°C
26%
23°C
33%
24°C
21%
25°C
7%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 43%
22°C 26%
24°C 21%
20°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$10 Vol.
33%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$51 Vol.
7%
26°C
$0 Vol.
6%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's August 31 maximum will likely fall in the 22–24°C range, consistent with the market's concentration around those outcomes amid transitional late-summer conditions. Southwest flow advects mild air while variable cloud cover and possible light showers limit daytime heating, keeping peaks below recent seasonal highs. Model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of any precipitation, and boundary-layer mixing, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–3°C. Russian meteorological guidance and international ensembles currently align near 23°C but remain sensitive to the next 48-hour updates from the Hydrometeorological Center and global numerical weather prediction runs. Traders appear to price in this genuine short-term uncertainty rather than committing heavily to outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$61End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's August 31 maximum will likely fall in the 22–24°C range, consistent with the market's concentration around those outcomes amid transitional late-summer conditions. Southwest flow advects mild air while variable cloud cover and possible light showers limit daytime heating, keeping peaks below recent seasonal highs. Model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of any precipitation, and boundary-layer mixing, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–3°C. Russian meteorological guidance and international ensembles currently align near 23°C but remain sensitive to the next 48-hour updates from the Hydrometeorological Center and global numerical weather prediction runs. Traders appear to price in this genuine short-term uncertainty rather than committing heavily to outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's August 31 maximum will likely fall in the 22–24°C range, consistent with the market's concentration around those outcomes amid transitional late-summer conditions. Southwest flow advects mild air while variable cloud cover and possible light showers limit daytime heating, keeping peaks below recent seasonal highs. Model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of any precipitation, and boundary-layer mixing, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–3°C. Russian meteorological guidance and international ensembles currently align near 23°C but remain sensitive to the next 48-hour updates from the Hydrometeorological Center and global numerical weather prediction runs. Traders appear to price in this genuine short-term uncertainty rather than committing heavily to outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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