Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a low near 66°F at Los Angeles International Airport on August 30, amid a gradual cooldown from the recent heatwave driven by high pressure and weak onshore flow. Marine layer depth, sea breeze timing, and overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies remain the dominant variables, with limited model spread keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the mid-60s bins that align with historical August averages near 65°F. Elevated sea surface temperatures from the ongoing marine heatwave and lingering El Niño influences have sustained higher dew points, but the pattern shows no strong signals for extremes below 62°F or above 70°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 30?
59°F or below 81%
60-61°F 30%
78°F or higher 28%
64-65°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
81%
60-61°F
30%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
13%
78°F or higher
28%
59°F or below 81%
60-61°F 30%
78°F or higher 28%
64-65°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
$109 Vol.
81%
60-61°F
$127 Vol.
30%
62-63°F
$54 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
26%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$16 Vol.
28%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$130 Vol.
13%
78°F or higher
$130 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a low near 66°F at Los Angeles International Airport on August 30, amid a gradual cooldown from the recent heatwave driven by high pressure and weak onshore flow. Marine layer depth, sea breeze timing, and overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies remain the dominant variables, with limited model spread keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the mid-60s bins that align with historical August averages near 65°F. Elevated sea surface temperatures from the ongoing marine heatwave and lingering El Niño influences have sustained higher dew points, but the pattern shows no strong signals for extremes below 62°F or above 70°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$566End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a low near 66°F at Los Angeles International Airport on August 30, amid a gradual cooldown from the recent heatwave driven by high pressure and weak onshore flow. Marine layer depth, sea breeze timing, and overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies remain the dominant variables, with limited model spread keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the mid-60s bins that align with historical August averages near 65°F. Elevated sea surface temperatures from the ongoing marine heatwave and lingering El Niño influences have sustained higher dew points, but the pattern shows no strong signals for extremes below 62°F or above 70°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$566End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a low near 66°F at Los Angeles International Airport on August 30, amid a gradual cooldown from the recent heatwave driven by high pressure and weak onshore flow. Marine layer depth, sea breeze timing, and overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies remain the dominant variables, with limited model spread keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the mid-60s bins that align with historical August averages near 65°F. Elevated sea surface temperatures from the ongoing marine heatwave and lingering El Niño influences have sustained higher dew points, but the pattern shows no strong signals for extremes below 62°F or above 70°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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