Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show overnight lows in Milan clustering near 20–21°C on August 27, reflecting the primary driver of trader positioning amid closely matched market odds. Persistent high pressure over the Po Valley is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and maintaining mild conditions typical of late-summer climatology, with average lows around 18–20°C this time of year. Minimal frontal activity or advection is expected in the next 48 hours, keeping temperature spread narrow while urban heat-island effects introduce minor uncertainty around the precise minimum. Updated model runs and regional observations will refine these projections before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 27?
25°C 27%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
22°C 26%
16°C or below
10%
17°C
11%
18°C
25%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
2%
25°C
27%
26°C or higher
26%
25°C 27%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
22°C 26%
16°C or below
10%
17°C
11%
18°C
25%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
2%
25°C
27%
26°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show overnight lows in Milan clustering near 20–21°C on August 27, reflecting the primary driver of trader positioning amid closely matched market odds. Persistent high pressure over the Po Valley is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and maintaining mild conditions typical of late-summer climatology, with average lows around 18–20°C this time of year. Minimal frontal activity or advection is expected in the next 48 hours, keeping temperature spread narrow while urban heat-island effects introduce minor uncertainty around the precise minimum. Updated model runs and regional observations will refine these projections before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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