**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 27, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–24°C amid the ongoing rainy season.** Official outlooks from CONAGUA and multiple models indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which reduce incoming solar radiation and cap afternoon heating at high elevation (roughly 2,240 m). Light northerly winds and high humidity further moderate peaks, consistent with recent observed highs of 21–25°C in late August 2026. The close market split between 24°C (39.5%) and 25°C (32.0%) reflects minor uncertainties in cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Earlier clearing or lighter rainfall could allow brief additional warming toward 25°C, while persistent cloud cover or earlier storms favor 23°C. Historical August averages near 23°C and current ensemble guidance both support the tight clustering traders have priced in. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on the 26th will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
24°C 40%
25°C 31%
26°C 11%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
40%
25°C
31%
26°C
11%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 40%
25°C 31%
26°C 11%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
$249 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$33 Vol.
1%
20°C
$33 Vol.
1%
21°C
$66 Vol.
2%
22°C
$93 Vol.
5%
23°C
$290 Vol.
11%
24°C
$143 Vol.
40%
25°C
$387 Vol.
31%
26°C
$150 Vol.
11%
27°C
$86 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 27, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–24°C amid the ongoing rainy season.** Official outlooks from CONAGUA and multiple models indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which reduce incoming solar radiation and cap afternoon heating at high elevation (roughly 2,240 m). Light northerly winds and high humidity further moderate peaks, consistent with recent observed highs of 21–25°C in late August 2026.
The close market split between 24°C (39.5%) and 25°C (32.0%) reflects minor uncertainties in cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Earlier clearing or lighter rainfall could allow brief additional warming toward 25°C, while persistent cloud cover or earlier storms favor 23°C. Historical August averages near 23°C and current ensemble guidance both support the tight clustering traders have priced in. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on the 26th will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,544End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 27, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–24°C amid the ongoing rainy season.** Official outlooks from CONAGUA and multiple models indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which reduce incoming solar radiation and cap afternoon heating at high elevation (roughly 2,240 m). Light northerly winds and high humidity further moderate peaks, consistent with recent observed highs of 21–25°C in late August 2026.
The close market split between 24°C (39.5%) and 25°C (32.0%) reflects minor uncertainties in cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Earlier clearing or lighter rainfall could allow brief additional warming toward 25°C, while persistent cloud cover or earlier storms favor 23°C. Historical August averages near 23°C and current ensemble guidance both support the tight clustering traders have priced in. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on the 26th will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,544End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 27, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–24°C amid the ongoing rainy season.** Official outlooks from CONAGUA and multiple models indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which reduce incoming solar radiation and cap afternoon heating at high elevation (roughly 2,240 m). Light northerly winds and high humidity further moderate peaks, consistent with recent observed highs of 21–25°C in late August 2026. The close market split between 24°C (39.5%) and 25°C (32.0%) reflects minor uncertainties in cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Earlier clearing or lighter rainfall could allow brief additional warming toward 25°C, while persistent cloud cover or earlier storms favor 23°C. Historical August averages near 23°C and current ensemble guidance both support the tight clustering traders have priced in. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on the 26th will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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