**Forecasts from the National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and other models project an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 27, 2026, amid persistent late-summer heat with highs near 102°F and 30–40% thunderstorm chances.** A weak frontal boundary and shifting upper-level flow introduce modest uncertainty in cloud cover and localized cooling from any evening convection, keeping the daily minimum tightly clustered around 74–79°F. Persistent high humidity (dew points near 70°F) and light winds limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while urban heat retention further anchors overnight readings. Recent days of triple-digit heat have maintained elevated baseline temperatures without significant cold-air advection. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific range, with leading probabilities on 74–79°F bins capturing model consensus and minor variability in precipitation timing or clearing skies. Historical August climatology (average lows near 75°F) provides context, but current conditions favor values slightly above that due to the ongoing warm pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 27?
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 27%
82-83°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 27%
82-83°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$162 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$8 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$69 Vol.
30%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
26%
84-85°F
$172 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$308 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$525 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and other models project an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 27, 2026, amid persistent late-summer heat with highs near 102°F and 30–40% thunderstorm chances.**
A weak frontal boundary and shifting upper-level flow introduce modest uncertainty in cloud cover and localized cooling from any evening convection, keeping the daily minimum tightly clustered around 74–79°F. Persistent high humidity (dew points near 70°F) and light winds limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while urban heat retention further anchors overnight readings. Recent days of triple-digit heat have maintained elevated baseline temperatures without significant cold-air advection.
Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific range, with leading probabilities on 74–79°F bins capturing model consensus and minor variability in precipitation timing or clearing skies. Historical August climatology (average lows near 75°F) provides context, but current conditions favor values slightly above that due to the ongoing warm pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,270End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and other models project an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 27, 2026, amid persistent late-summer heat with highs near 102°F and 30–40% thunderstorm chances.**
A weak frontal boundary and shifting upper-level flow introduce modest uncertainty in cloud cover and localized cooling from any evening convection, keeping the daily minimum tightly clustered around 74–79°F. Persistent high humidity (dew points near 70°F) and light winds limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while urban heat retention further anchors overnight readings. Recent days of triple-digit heat have maintained elevated baseline temperatures without significant cold-air advection.
Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific range, with leading probabilities on 74–79°F bins capturing model consensus and minor variability in precipitation timing or clearing skies. Historical August climatology (average lows near 75°F) provides context, but current conditions favor values slightly above that due to the ongoing warm pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,270End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and other models project an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 27, 2026, amid persistent late-summer heat with highs near 102°F and 30–40% thunderstorm chances.** A weak frontal boundary and shifting upper-level flow introduce modest uncertainty in cloud cover and localized cooling from any evening convection, keeping the daily minimum tightly clustered around 74–79°F. Persistent high humidity (dew points near 70°F) and light winds limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while urban heat retention further anchors overnight readings. Recent days of triple-digit heat have maintained elevated baseline temperatures without significant cold-air advection. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific range, with leading probabilities on 74–79°F bins capturing model consensus and minor variability in precipitation timing or clearing skies. Historical August climatology (average lows near 75°F) provides context, but current conditions favor values slightly above that due to the ongoing warm pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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