Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Austin highs of 100–102°F on August 27, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, reflecting a modest cooling trend from the ongoing late-August heat wave, where recent daily maxima reached 102–107°F under strong high pressure and subsidence. Low-level moisture and weak steering winds may favor scattered convection, while persistent southerly flow maintains warm advection; however, model consensus shows limited intensification potential compared to prior days with clearer skies. Official NWS guidance and ensemble runs will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 27?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 27?
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 14%
96-97°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
26%
104-105°F
8%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 14%
96-97°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
95°F or below
$11 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$7 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
14%
100-101°F
$48 Vol.
42%
102-103°F
$90 Vol.
26%
104-105°F
$279 Vol.
8%
106-107°F
$70 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$15 Vol.
2%
110-111°F
$10 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$240 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$206 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Austin highs of 100–102°F on August 27, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, reflecting a modest cooling trend from the ongoing late-August heat wave, where recent daily maxima reached 102–107°F under strong high pressure and subsidence. Low-level moisture and weak steering winds may favor scattered convection, while persistent southerly flow maintains warm advection; however, model consensus shows limited intensification potential compared to prior days with clearer skies. Official NWS guidance and ensemble runs will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$976End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Austin highs of 100–102°F on August 27, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, reflecting a modest cooling trend from the ongoing late-August heat wave, where recent daily maxima reached 102–107°F under strong high pressure and subsidence. Low-level moisture and weak steering winds may favor scattered convection, while persistent southerly flow maintains warm advection; however, model consensus shows limited intensification potential compared to prior days with clearer skies. Official NWS guidance and ensemble runs will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$976End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Austin highs of 100–102°F on August 27, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, reflecting a modest cooling trend from the ongoing late-August heat wave, where recent daily maxima reached 102–107°F under strong high pressure and subsidence. Low-level moisture and weak steering winds may favor scattered convection, while persistent southerly flow maintains warm advection; however, model consensus shows limited intensification potential compared to prior days with clearer skies. Official NWS guidance and ensemble runs will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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