Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models places Miami’s overnight low for August 27 in the upper 70s to low 80s °F, with most guidance clustering near 79–81 °F amid a typical late-summer tropical air mass. High dew points near 77–80 °F and light east-southeast winds limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in the precise minimum. Historical August normals hover around 77–78 °F, but current conditions reflect warmer baseline moisture typical of recent years. The near-even market split between 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F reflects these small forecast differences in timing of any clearing or rain, with traders weighting official NWS point forecasts and ensemble spread that could shift with the next model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 27?
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 35%
76-77°F 23%
86°F or higher 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
21%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 35%
76-77°F 23%
86°F or higher 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
67°F or below
$43 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$127 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$22 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$22 Vol.
14%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
20%
84-85°F
$16 Vol.
4%
86°F or higher
$22 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models places Miami’s overnight low for August 27 in the upper 70s to low 80s °F, with most guidance clustering near 79–81 °F amid a typical late-summer tropical air mass. High dew points near 77–80 °F and light east-southeast winds limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in the precise minimum. Historical August normals hover around 77–78 °F, but current conditions reflect warmer baseline moisture typical of recent years. The near-even market split between 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F reflects these small forecast differences in timing of any clearing or rain, with traders weighting official NWS point forecasts and ensemble spread that could shift with the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$251End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models places Miami’s overnight low for August 27 in the upper 70s to low 80s °F, with most guidance clustering near 79–81 °F amid a typical late-summer tropical air mass. High dew points near 77–80 °F and light east-southeast winds limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in the precise minimum. Historical August normals hover around 77–78 °F, but current conditions reflect warmer baseline moisture typical of recent years. The near-even market split between 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F reflects these small forecast differences in timing of any clearing or rain, with traders weighting official NWS point forecasts and ensemble spread that could shift with the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$251End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models places Miami’s overnight low for August 27 in the upper 70s to low 80s °F, with most guidance clustering near 79–81 °F amid a typical late-summer tropical air mass. High dew points near 77–80 °F and light east-southeast winds limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in the precise minimum. Historical August normals hover around 77–78 °F, but current conditions reflect warmer baseline moisture typical of recent years. The near-even market split between 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F reflects these small forecast differences in timing of any clearing or rain, with traders weighting official NWS point forecasts and ensemble spread that could shift with the next model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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