**National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 25 point to a high near 106°F under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 104–107°F bins.** Ongoing high pressure and a heat wave have produced recent daily maxima of 105–109°F, with official observations confirming sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover that favor strong daytime heating. Model consensus shows limited variability, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders appear to price the outcome against these NWS and ensemble guidance, with historical August maxima averaging 95°F but recent analogs supporting temperatures in the mid-100s. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation period will provide the last data before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 25?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 25?
104-105°F 37%
106-107°F 26%
102-103°F 21%
108-109°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
37%
106-107°F
26%
108-109°F
9%
110-111°F
4%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 37%
106-107°F 26%
102-103°F 21%
108-109°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
99°F or below
$366 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$1,663 Vol.
5%
102-103°F
$645 Vol.
21%
104-105°F
$348 Vol.
37%
106-107°F
$244 Vol.
26%
108-109°F
$25 Vol.
9%
110-111°F
$98 Vol.
4%
112-113°F
$50 Vol.
<1%
114-115°F
$10 Vol.
<1%
116-117°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
118°F or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 25 point to a high near 106°F under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 104–107°F bins.** Ongoing high pressure and a heat wave have produced recent daily maxima of 105–109°F, with official observations confirming sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover that favor strong daytime heating. Model consensus shows limited variability, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders appear to price the outcome against these NWS and ensemble guidance, with historical August maxima averaging 95°F but recent analogs supporting temperatures in the mid-100s. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation period will provide the last data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,459End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 25 point to a high near 106°F under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 104–107°F bins.** Ongoing high pressure and a heat wave have produced recent daily maxima of 105–109°F, with official observations confirming sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover that favor strong daytime heating. Model consensus shows limited variability, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders appear to price the outcome against these NWS and ensemble guidance, with historical August maxima averaging 95°F but recent analogs supporting temperatures in the mid-100s. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation period will provide the last data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,459End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 25 point to a high near 106°F under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 104–107°F bins.** Ongoing high pressure and a heat wave have produced recent daily maxima of 105–109°F, with official observations confirming sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover that favor strong daytime heating. Model consensus shows limited variability, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders appear to price the outcome against these NWS and ensemble guidance, with historical August maxima averaging 95°F but recent analogs supporting temperatures in the mid-100s. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation period will provide the last data before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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