Current National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus forecasts position the overnight low for Seattle on August 27 near 58°F, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light southwesterly flow and moderating marine influence from the Puget Sound, supports mid-to-upper 50s readings slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 55.9°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no significant revisions from prior guidance, reinforcing trader focus on the 56–59°F range amid stable late-summer conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 27?
58-59°F 46%
51°F or below 44%
56-57°F 34%
60-61°F 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
51°F or below
44%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
46%
60-61°F
34%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
6%
70°F or higher
8%
58-59°F 46%
51°F or below 44%
56-57°F 34%
60-61°F 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
51°F or below
$27 Vol.
44%
52-53°F
$27 Vol.
17%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
11%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
34%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
46%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
34%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
29%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
14%
66-67°F
$27 Vol.
15%
68-69°F
$27 Vol.
6%
70°F or higher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus forecasts position the overnight low for Seattle on August 27 near 58°F, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light southwesterly flow and moderating marine influence from the Puget Sound, supports mid-to-upper 50s readings slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 55.9°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no significant revisions from prior guidance, reinforcing trader focus on the 56–59°F range amid stable late-summer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$117End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus forecasts position the overnight low for Seattle on August 27 near 58°F, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light southwesterly flow and moderating marine influence from the Puget Sound, supports mid-to-upper 50s readings slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 55.9°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no significant revisions from prior guidance, reinforcing trader focus on the 56–59°F range amid stable late-summer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$117End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus forecasts position the overnight low for Seattle on August 27 near 58°F, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light southwesterly flow and moderating marine influence from the Puget Sound, supports mid-to-upper 50s readings slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 55.9°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no significant revisions from prior guidance, reinforcing trader focus on the 56–59°F range amid stable late-summer conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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