Forecast models from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international services such as the Met Office indicate an overnight low of 11–12 °C for Buenos Aires on August 27 under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and south-southeast flow that limits radiational cooling. Early-morning observations already registered 12–13 °C with high humidity and dew points near the air temperature, supporting limited further drop. These conditions align with late-winter climatology yet sit above the August average minimum near 7 °C, producing the market’s concentration of probability on 11 °C and 12 °C outcomes while keeping sub-10 °C chances minimal. Updated model runs and official minimum reports expected later today will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 27?
9°C 48%
10°C 48%
11°C 46%
7°C 3%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
2%
9°C
48%
10°C
48%
11°C
46%
12°C
48%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 48%
10°C 48%
11°C 46%
7°C 3%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
2%
9°C
48%
10°C
48%
11°C
46%
12°C
48%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international services such as the Met Office indicate an overnight low of 11–12 °C for Buenos Aires on August 27 under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and south-southeast flow that limits radiational cooling. Early-morning observations already registered 12–13 °C with high humidity and dew points near the air temperature, supporting limited further drop. These conditions align with late-winter climatology yet sit above the August average minimum near 7 °C, producing the market’s concentration of probability on 11 °C and 12 °C outcomes while keeping sub-10 °C chances minimal. Updated model runs and official minimum reports expected later today will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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