Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will experience widespread cloud cover and periods of light rain on August 28, limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling under a northwesterly flow. This setup supports minimum temperatures near or slightly below the 20°C climatological average, with ensemble guidance clustering around 18–19°C. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum, as small variations in cloud persistence, dew point depression, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the low by 1–2°C in either direction. The elevated probability assigned to cooler outcomes aligns with the current suppressed thermal profile and recent model runs emphasizing continued moisture and limited solar insolation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
19°C 45%
20°C 43%
18°C 42%
21°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
32%
16°C
24%
17°C
24%
18°C
42%
19°C
45%
20°C
43%
21°C
36%
22°C
35%
23°C
21%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
11%
19°C 45%
20°C 43%
18°C 42%
21°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
$22 Vol.
32%
16°C
$0 Vol.
24%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$0 Vol.
42%
19°C
$0 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
43%
21°C
$0 Vol.
36%
22°C
$0 Vol.
35%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$22 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$22 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will experience widespread cloud cover and periods of light rain on August 28, limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling under a northwesterly flow. This setup supports minimum temperatures near or slightly below the 20°C climatological average, with ensemble guidance clustering around 18–19°C. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum, as small variations in cloud persistence, dew point depression, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the low by 1–2°C in either direction. The elevated probability assigned to cooler outcomes aligns with the current suppressed thermal profile and recent model runs emphasizing continued moisture and limited solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$65End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will experience widespread cloud cover and periods of light rain on August 28, limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling under a northwesterly flow. This setup supports minimum temperatures near or slightly below the 20°C climatological average, with ensemble guidance clustering around 18–19°C. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum, as small variations in cloud persistence, dew point depression, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the low by 1–2°C in either direction. The elevated probability assigned to cooler outcomes aligns with the current suppressed thermal profile and recent model runs emphasizing continued moisture and limited solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will experience widespread cloud cover and periods of light rain on August 28, limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling under a northwesterly flow. This setup supports minimum temperatures near or slightly below the 20°C climatological average, with ensemble guidance clustering around 18–19°C. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum, as small variations in cloud persistence, dew point depression, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the low by 1–2°C in either direction. The elevated probability assigned to cooler outcomes aligns with the current suppressed thermal profile and recent model runs emphasizing continued moisture and limited solar insolation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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