Current forecast guidance from global models points to a daily maximum near 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on June 28, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 32% and 23.5% implied probability. Winter conditions feature a high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly flow that restricts daytime heating while enabling overnight radiational cooling. Limited insolation at this latitude, combined with potential patchy cloud cover or slight wind shifts, creates narrow variability around the seasonal average high of 15–16°C early in the month. Model consensus on exact peak temperature remains tight yet sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns, sustaining the close spread across 11–14°C bins. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 12–24 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 28?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 28?
15°C 99.8%
16°C or higher <1%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
$41,643 Vol.
$41,643 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.8%
16°C or higher <1%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
$41,643 Vol.
$41,643 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
6°C or below
$807 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,526 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,748 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,299 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,602 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$3,733 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$7,346 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$4,504 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$9,274 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$4,598 Vol.
100%
16°C or higher
$4,222 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from global models points to a daily maximum near 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on June 28, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 32% and 23.5% implied probability. Winter conditions feature a high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly flow that restricts daytime heating while enabling overnight radiational cooling. Limited insolation at this latitude, combined with potential patchy cloud cover or slight wind shifts, creates narrow variability around the seasonal average high of 15–16°C early in the month. Model consensus on exact peak temperature remains tight yet sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns, sustaining the close spread across 11–14°C bins. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 12–24 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$41,643End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from global models points to a daily maximum near 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on June 28, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 32% and 23.5% implied probability. Winter conditions feature a high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly flow that restricts daytime heating while enabling overnight radiational cooling. Limited insolation at this latitude, combined with potential patchy cloud cover or slight wind shifts, creates narrow variability around the seasonal average high of 15–16°C early in the month. Model consensus on exact peak temperature remains tight yet sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns, sustaining the close spread across 11–14°C bins. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 12–24 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,643End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from global models points to a daily maximum near 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on June 28, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 32% and 23.5% implied probability. Winter conditions feature a high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly flow that restricts daytime heating while enabling overnight radiational cooling. Limited insolation at this latitude, combined with potential patchy cloud cover or slight wind shifts, creates narrow variability around the seasonal average high of 15–16°C early in the month. Model consensus on exact peak temperature remains tight yet sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns, sustaining the close spread across 11–14°C bins. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 12–24 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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