Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models point to overcast skies and passing showers in Busan on July 1, limiting daytime heating and capping highs near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's clustering around 25–27°C as the leading outcomes. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of the region further moderate peaks, while the early July East Asian monsoon pattern often brings cloud cover that suppresses temperatures below seasonal averages of 27–29°C. Model consensus remains the key variable, with any clearing trend or revised runs potentially shifting implied probabilities toward 27–28°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on July 1?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 1?
27°C 31%
26°C 22%
25°C 18%
24°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 1, 2026
23°C or below
6%
24°C
11%
25°C
18%
26°C
22%
27°C
31%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 31%
26°C 22%
25°C 18%
24°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 1, 2026
23°C or below
$58 Vol.
6%
24°C
$11 Vol.
11%
25°C
$13 Vol.
18%
26°C
$16 Vol.
22%
27°C
$5 Vol.
31%
28°C
$16 Vol.
10%
29°C
$54 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$113 Vol.
2%
32°C
$619 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$133 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models point to overcast skies and passing showers in Busan on July 1, limiting daytime heating and capping highs near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's clustering around 25–27°C as the leading outcomes. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of the region further moderate peaks, while the early July East Asian monsoon pattern often brings cloud cover that suppresses temperatures below seasonal averages of 27–29°C. Model consensus remains the key variable, with any clearing trend or revised runs potentially shifting implied probabilities toward 27–28°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,039End Date
Jul 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models point to overcast skies and passing showers in Busan on July 1, limiting daytime heating and capping highs near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's clustering around 25–27°C as the leading outcomes. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of the region further moderate peaks, while the early July East Asian monsoon pattern often brings cloud cover that suppresses temperatures below seasonal averages of 27–29°C. Model consensus remains the key variable, with any clearing trend or revised runs potentially shifting implied probabilities toward 27–28°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,039End Date
Jul 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models point to overcast skies and passing showers in Busan on July 1, limiting daytime heating and capping highs near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's clustering around 25–27°C as the leading outcomes. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of the region further moderate peaks, while the early July East Asian monsoon pattern often brings cloud cover that suppresses temperatures below seasonal averages of 27–29°C. Model consensus remains the key variable, with any clearing trend or revised runs potentially shifting implied probabilities toward 27–28°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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