Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service models and global ensembles point to a cool winter day in Cape Town on July 4, with highest temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range amid a lingering upper-air trough and moderate Atlantic onshore flow. These conditions limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and marine air advection, consistent with July climatology where average maxima reach 15–17°C. Key variables differentiating narrow outcome bins include exact cloud timing, wind shifts from southerly to northeasterly, and any weak frontal passage that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 4?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 4?
18°C 39%
17°C 27%
19°C 15%
16°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 4, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
12%
17°C
27%
18°C
39%
19°C
15%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 39%
17°C 27%
19°C 15%
16°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 4, 2026
12°C or below
$72 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$393 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$913 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$139 Обс.
5%
16°C
$19 Обс.
12%
17°C
$80 Обс.
27%
18°C
$2,985 Обс.
39%
19°C
$296 Обс.
15%
20°C
$30 Обс.
3%
21°C
$20 Обс.
3%
22°C or higher
$26 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service models and global ensembles point to a cool winter day in Cape Town on July 4, with highest temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range amid a lingering upper-air trough and moderate Atlantic onshore flow. These conditions limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and marine air advection, consistent with July climatology where average maxima reach 15–17°C. Key variables differentiating narrow outcome bins include exact cloud timing, wind shifts from southerly to northeasterly, and any weak frontal passage that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,974Дата завершення
Jul 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service models and global ensembles point to a cool winter day in Cape Town on July 4, with highest temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range amid a lingering upper-air trough and moderate Atlantic onshore flow. These conditions limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and marine air advection, consistent with July climatology where average maxima reach 15–17°C. Key variables differentiating narrow outcome bins include exact cloud timing, wind shifts from southerly to northeasterly, and any weak frontal passage that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,974Дата завершення
Jul 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service models and global ensembles point to a cool winter day in Cape Town on July 4, with highest temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range amid a lingering upper-air trough and moderate Atlantic onshore flow. These conditions limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and marine air advection, consistent with July climatology where average maxima reach 15–17°C. Key variables differentiating narrow outcome bins include exact cloud timing, wind shifts from southerly to northeasterly, and any weak frontal passage that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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