Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources highlight an incoming cold air surge and associated precipitation system driving trader focus on lower maxima for Chengdu on September 9. Daytime highs are projected near 24–26°C under widespread rain and thunderstorms, with some models indicating 19–25°C amid heavy downpours and northerly winds of 4–7 on the Beaufort scale. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall will limit solar insolation, suppressing temperatures below recent 33–36°C peaks. Market-implied odds clustering around 25–27°C reflect model consensus on this cooling episode while acknowledging uncertainty in the precise peak amid variable rainfall timing and intensity. Updated runs from regional agencies will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
27°C 28%
26°C 27%
25°C 17%
28°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
17%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
11%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 28%
26°C 27%
25°C 17%
28°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$30 Vol.
2%
22°C
$156 Vol.
2%
23°C
$134 Vol.
4%
24°C
$183 Vol.
9%
25°C
$324 Vol.
17%
26°C
$46 Vol.
27%
27°C
$953 Vol.
28%
28°C
$236 Vol.
11%
29°C
$259 Vol.
4%
30°C
$92 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$140 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources highlight an incoming cold air surge and associated precipitation system driving trader focus on lower maxima for Chengdu on September 9. Daytime highs are projected near 24–26°C under widespread rain and thunderstorms, with some models indicating 19–25°C amid heavy downpours and northerly winds of 4–7 on the Beaufort scale. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall will limit solar insolation, suppressing temperatures below recent 33–36°C peaks. Market-implied odds clustering around 25–27°C reflect model consensus on this cooling episode while acknowledging uncertainty in the precise peak amid variable rainfall timing and intensity. Updated runs from regional agencies will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,553End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources highlight an incoming cold air surge and associated precipitation system driving trader focus on lower maxima for Chengdu on September 9. Daytime highs are projected near 24–26°C under widespread rain and thunderstorms, with some models indicating 19–25°C amid heavy downpours and northerly winds of 4–7 on the Beaufort scale. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall will limit solar insolation, suppressing temperatures below recent 33–36°C peaks. Market-implied odds clustering around 25–27°C reflect model consensus on this cooling episode while acknowledging uncertainty in the precise peak amid variable rainfall timing and intensity. Updated runs from regional agencies will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,553End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources highlight an incoming cold air surge and associated precipitation system driving trader focus on lower maxima for Chengdu on September 9. Daytime highs are projected near 24–26°C under widespread rain and thunderstorms, with some models indicating 19–25°C amid heavy downpours and northerly winds of 4–7 on the Beaufort scale. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall will limit solar insolation, suppressing temperatures below recent 33–36°C peaks. Market-implied odds clustering around 25–27°C reflect model consensus on this cooling episode while acknowledging uncertainty in the precise peak amid variable rainfall timing and intensity. Updated runs from regional agencies will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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