Latest National Weather Service forecasts for the Dallas-Fort Worth area point to a sunny, hot day on August 1 with a high near 98–103 °F, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and elevated dew points supporting heat indices above 105 °F have kept recent model runs in this range, while historical climatology places the August 1 normal high at 96 °F. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud build-up, subtle wind shifts, or small model adjustments that could nudge the official maximum a degree or two in either direction. Longer-range guidance for early August also signals continued above-average warmth across North Texas, limiting downside risk below 96 °F while capping extreme outliers above 104 °F absent an unexpected ridge amplification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 1?
98-99°F 40%
96-97°F 25%
100-101°F 22%
102-103°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
40%
100-101°F
22%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
2%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 40%
96-97°F 25%
100-101°F 22%
102-103°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
91°F or below
$57 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$70 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$95 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$211 Vol.
25%
98-99°F
$193 Vol.
40%
100-101°F
$148 Vol.
22%
102-103°F
$72 Vol.
12%
104-105°F
$114 Vol.
4%
106-107°F
$62 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$35 Vol.
2%
110°F or higher
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for the Dallas-Fort Worth area point to a sunny, hot day on August 1 with a high near 98–103 °F, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and elevated dew points supporting heat indices above 105 °F have kept recent model runs in this range, while historical climatology places the August 1 normal high at 96 °F. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud build-up, subtle wind shifts, or small model adjustments that could nudge the official maximum a degree or two in either direction. Longer-range guidance for early August also signals continued above-average warmth across North Texas, limiting downside risk below 96 °F while capping extreme outliers above 104 °F absent an unexpected ridge amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,205End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for the Dallas-Fort Worth area point to a sunny, hot day on August 1 with a high near 98–103 °F, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and elevated dew points supporting heat indices above 105 °F have kept recent model runs in this range, while historical climatology places the August 1 normal high at 96 °F. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud build-up, subtle wind shifts, or small model adjustments that could nudge the official maximum a degree or two in either direction. Longer-range guidance for early August also signals continued above-average warmth across North Texas, limiting downside risk below 96 °F while capping extreme outliers above 104 °F absent an unexpected ridge amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,205End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for the Dallas-Fort Worth area point to a sunny, hot day on August 1 with a high near 98–103 °F, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and elevated dew points supporting heat indices above 105 °F have kept recent model runs in this range, while historical climatology places the August 1 normal high at 96 °F. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud build-up, subtle wind shifts, or small model adjustments that could nudge the official maximum a degree or two in either direction. Longer-range guidance for early August also signals continued above-average warmth across North Texas, limiting downside risk below 96 °F while capping extreme outliers above 104 °F absent an unexpected ridge amplification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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