Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C as the most probable maximum for Guangzhou on June 18 because ensemble forecasts from major global models show a tight cluster of daytime highs in that narrow range amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover and convective rainfall expected from the Pearl River Delta’s moist southerly flow, which can suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2 °C, and the strength of the urban heat island effect under varying wind regimes. Historical mid-June climatology for the city places the average daily maximum near 30 °C, providing a baseline that current model consensus closely tracks. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the spread before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 18일 광저우에서 가장 높은 기온?
6월 18일 광저우에서 가장 높은 기온?
29°C 31%
30°C 29%
31°C 14%
28°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.06.18
23°C 이하
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
14%
29°C
31%
30°C
29%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C 이상
2%
29°C 31%
30°C 29%
31°C 14%
28°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.06.18
23°C 이하
$136 거래량
<1%
24°C
$132 거래량
<1%
25°C
$152 거래량
<1%
26°C
$835 거래량
1%
27°C
$855 거래량
7%
28°C
$309 거래량
14%
29°C
$756 거래량
31%
30°C
$274 거래량
29%
31°C
$531 거래량
14%
32°C
$879 거래량
3%
33°C 이상
$185 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C as the most probable maximum for Guangzhou on June 18 because ensemble forecasts from major global models show a tight cluster of daytime highs in that narrow range amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover and convective rainfall expected from the Pearl River Delta’s moist southerly flow, which can suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2 °C, and the strength of the urban heat island effect under varying wind regimes. Historical mid-June climatology for the city places the average daily maximum near 30 °C, providing a baseline that current model consensus closely tracks. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the spread before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$5,044종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C as the most probable maximum for Guangzhou on June 18 because ensemble forecasts from major global models show a tight cluster of daytime highs in that narrow range amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover and convective rainfall expected from the Pearl River Delta’s moist southerly flow, which can suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2 °C, and the strength of the urban heat island effect under varying wind regimes. Historical mid-June climatology for the city places the average daily maximum near 30 °C, providing a baseline that current model consensus closely tracks. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the spread before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$5,044종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus centers on 29–30°C as the most probable maximum for Guangzhou on June 18 because ensemble forecasts from major global models show a tight cluster of daytime highs in that narrow range amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover and convective rainfall expected from the Pearl River Delta’s moist southerly flow, which can suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2 °C, and the strength of the urban heat island effect under varying wind regimes. Historical mid-June climatology for the city places the average daily maximum near 30 °C, providing a baseline that current model consensus closely tracks. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the spread before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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