Latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to a June 12 high near 28–30°C under sunny intervals with scattered showers, aligning with the tightly clustered market odds for 29–31°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and weak steering flows, favor afternoon convective development that can cap daytime peaks, while the urban heat island and variable sea breezes introduce small uncertainties in localized maxima. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through the quarter provide a slight upward bias, yet the narrow spread in outcomes reflects genuine forecast divergence on shower timing and intensity over the next 24 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
31°C 22%
28°C 20%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
20%
29°C
27%
30°C
30%
31°C
22%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
31°C 22%
28°C 20%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
20%
29°C
27%
30°C
30%
31°C
22%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to a June 12 high near 28–30°C under sunny intervals with scattered showers, aligning with the tightly clustered market odds for 29–31°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and weak steering flows, favor afternoon convective development that can cap daytime peaks, while the urban heat island and variable sea breezes introduce small uncertainties in localized maxima. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through the quarter provide a slight upward bias, yet the narrow spread in outcomes reflects genuine forecast divergence on shower timing and intensity over the next 24 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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