Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models indicate persistent monsoon influence over Karachi through July 25, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, light drizzle potential, and sea-breeze moderation keeping daytime highs near 30–32°C. These conditions suppress peak temperatures by limiting insolation and promoting evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Historical July averages hover around 33°C, yet current guidance and recent daily observations (e.g., 30–32°C range) tilt toward the lower bins. Market-implied odds favoring 33–35°C reflect trader weighting of climatological baselines and uncertainty in exact monsoon timing or clearing, while lower-probability outcomes account for potential brief breaks allowing modest warming. Updated PMD briefings and model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on July 25?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 25?
34°C 42%
33°C 25%
35°C 25%
36°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 25, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
25%
34°C
42%
35°C
25%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 42%
33°C 25%
35°C 25%
36°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 25, 2026
28°C or below
$39 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$51 Vol.
1%
31°C
$27 Vol.
2%
32°C
$76 Vol.
4%
33°C
$80 Vol.
25%
34°C
$121 Vol.
42%
35°C
$376 Vol.
25%
36°C
$25 Vol.
8%
37°C
$18 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$161 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models indicate persistent monsoon influence over Karachi through July 25, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, light drizzle potential, and sea-breeze moderation keeping daytime highs near 30–32°C. These conditions suppress peak temperatures by limiting insolation and promoting evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Historical July averages hover around 33°C, yet current guidance and recent daily observations (e.g., 30–32°C range) tilt toward the lower bins. Market-implied odds favoring 33–35°C reflect trader weighting of climatological baselines and uncertainty in exact monsoon timing or clearing, while lower-probability outcomes account for potential brief breaks allowing modest warming. Updated PMD briefings and model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,292End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models indicate persistent monsoon influence over Karachi through July 25, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, light drizzle potential, and sea-breeze moderation keeping daytime highs near 30–32°C. These conditions suppress peak temperatures by limiting insolation and promoting evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Historical July averages hover around 33°C, yet current guidance and recent daily observations (e.g., 30–32°C range) tilt toward the lower bins. Market-implied odds favoring 33–35°C reflect trader weighting of climatological baselines and uncertainty in exact monsoon timing or clearing, while lower-probability outcomes account for potential brief breaks allowing modest warming. Updated PMD briefings and model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,292End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models indicate persistent monsoon influence over Karachi through July 25, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, light drizzle potential, and sea-breeze moderation keeping daytime highs near 30–32°C. These conditions suppress peak temperatures by limiting insolation and promoting evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Historical July averages hover around 33°C, yet current guidance and recent daily observations (e.g., 30–32°C range) tilt toward the lower bins. Market-implied odds favoring 33–35°C reflect trader weighting of climatological baselines and uncertainty in exact monsoon timing or clearing, while lower-probability outcomes account for potential brief breaks allowing modest warming. Updated PMD briefings and model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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