Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 25, driven by typical midsummer conditions with highs around 32°C, high humidity, and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment clusters around 25°C as the leading outcome because models show modest variability from potential scattered showers or clearer periods that could nudge the low slightly higher or lower, consistent with historical July averages of 23–25°C. Key differentiating factors include wind patterns, urban heat island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window, with resolution hinging on official JMA observations at the Tokyo station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 25?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 25?
26°C 48%
25°C 39%
27°C 10.5%
24°C 4.0%
NEW
NEW
Jul 25, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
39%
26°C
48%
27°C
11%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
25°C 39%
27°C 10.5%
24°C 4.0%
NEW
NEW
Jul 25, 2026
20°C or below
$47 Vol.
1%
21°C
$50 Vol.
1%
22°C
$24 Vol.
1%
23°C
$24 Vol.
1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
4%
25°C
$222 Vol.
39%
26°C
$29 Vol.
48%
27°C
$76 Vol.
11%
28°C
$39 Vol.
3%
29°C
$32 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 25, driven by typical midsummer conditions with highs around 32°C, high humidity, and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment clusters around 25°C as the leading outcome because models show modest variability from potential scattered showers or clearer periods that could nudge the low slightly higher or lower, consistent with historical July averages of 23–25°C. Key differentiating factors include wind patterns, urban heat island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window, with resolution hinging on official JMA observations at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$605End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 25, driven by typical midsummer conditions with highs around 32°C, high humidity, and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment clusters around 25°C as the leading outcome because models show modest variability from potential scattered showers or clearer periods that could nudge the low slightly higher or lower, consistent with historical July averages of 23–25°C. Key differentiating factors include wind patterns, urban heat island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window, with resolution hinging on official JMA observations at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$605End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 25, driven by typical midsummer conditions with highs around 32°C, high humidity, and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment clusters around 25°C as the leading outcome because models show modest variability from potential scattered showers or clearer periods that could nudge the low slightly higher or lower, consistent with historical July averages of 23–25°C. Key differentiating factors include wind patterns, urban heat island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window, with resolution hinging on official JMA observations at the Tokyo station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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