Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with only a 10% rain chance, aligning with the market's 67% implied probability for that outcome. The southwest monsoon season, now underway, introduces increased cloud cover and humidity that typically caps temperatures below the 34–35°C peaks seen in April–May. Long-term June averages near 32°C, with recent model runs showing limited potential for brief spikes to 34°C absent stronger insolation. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines heavily, assigning low odds above 35°C given the moderating monsoon influence and stable steering patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on June 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
33°C 65%
34°C 29%
35°C 6%
36°C 1.0%
$19,897 Vol.
$19,897 Vol.
11 jun 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
65%
34°C
29%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
34°C 29%
35°C 6%
36°C 1.0%
$19,897 Vol.
$19,897 Vol.
11 jun 2026
28°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,972 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,325 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,820 Vol.
65%
34°C
$1,962 Vol.
29%
35°C
$2,024 Vol.
6%
36°C
$2,544 Vol.
1%
37°C
$957 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$517 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with only a 10% rain chance, aligning with the market's 67% implied probability for that outcome. The southwest monsoon season, now underway, introduces increased cloud cover and humidity that typically caps temperatures below the 34–35°C peaks seen in April–May. Long-term June averages near 32°C, with recent model runs showing limited potential for brief spikes to 34°C absent stronger insolation. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines heavily, assigning low odds above 35°C given the moderating monsoon influence and stable steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$19,897Data de Término
11 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with only a 10% rain chance, aligning with the market's 67% implied probability for that outcome. The southwest monsoon season, now underway, introduces increased cloud cover and humidity that typically caps temperatures below the 34–35°C peaks seen in April–May. Long-term June averages near 32°C, with recent model runs showing limited potential for brief spikes to 34°C absent stronger insolation. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines heavily, assigning low odds above 35°C given the moderating monsoon influence and stable steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,897Data de Término
11 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with only a 10% rain chance, aligning with the market's 67% implied probability for that outcome. The southwest monsoon season, now underway, introduces increased cloud cover and humidity that typically caps temperatures below the 34–35°C peaks seen in April–May. Long-term June averages near 32°C, with recent model runs showing limited potential for brief spikes to 34°C absent stronger insolation. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines heavily, assigning low odds above 35°C given the moderating monsoon influence and stable steering patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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